Table 5.
Results demonstrating the MAE, RMSLE and RMSE of the daily death cases of 50 US states and Washington, D.C. with NYT data. The lowest MAE, RMSLE and RMSE are marked in bold.
Algorithm | Forecasting horizon |
MAE | RMSLE | RMSE |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARIMA (Li, Yu, et al., 2018) | Day 1 | 49.25 | 2.693 | 107.41 |
12 Days Mean | 49.36 | 2.661 | 138.96 | |
STGCN (Yu et al., 2018) | Day 1 | 28.86 | 0.949 | 67.85 |
12 Days Mean | 28.43 | 0.959 | 63.87 | |
ASTGCN(r) (Guo et al., 2019) | Day 1 | 25.90 | 0.944 | 62.07 |
12 Days Mean | 24.40 | 0.932 | 57.47 | |
Graph WaveNet (Wu et al., 2019) |
Day 1 | 24.73 | 0.921 | 60.07 |
12 Days Mean | 26.18 | 0.965 | 60.57 | |
STTN (Xu et al., 2020) | Day 1 | 29.85 | 1.091 | 69.55 |
12 Days Mean | 28.09 | 1.079 | 62.97 | |
STSGT (ours) |
Day 1 | 22.88 | 0.912 | 61.39 |
12 Days Mean | 22.38 | 0.907 | 57.45 |