Table 4.

Timeline (mean years) to the elimination target for the intensive disease management diseases for no interruption, a 12-month interruption, and a 12-month interruption with an example mitigation strategy

	Target	Mitigation strategy	Intensive disease management diseases (baseline endemicity)	Years to target with no interruption	Years to target with 12-month interruption	Years to target with 12-month interruption and mitigation
Visceral leishmaniasis	<1 visceral leishmaniasis case per 10 000 per year at subdistrict level (India)	A 12-month extension of the attack phase (increased indoor residual spraying and active case detection)	High (10 cases per 10 000 per year); medium (5 cases per 10 000 per year)	9·5 (high); 2·3 (medium)	10·9 (high); 4·1 (medium)	10·0 (high); 4·1 (medium); target reached before start of mitigation strategy
Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis	Elimination of transmission	Resuming active screening at maximum historical level with passive detection set back to values before interruption	High*; medium*	32 (high); 13 (medium)	33 (high); 14 (medium)	31 (high); 12 (medium)

The number of years to target are calculated from 2018 onwards.

^*Transmission levels inferred from number of reported cases (appendix pp 22–24).