Table 2.
Cox Regression Table. Hazard ratios > 1 mean that the comparator group was published faster than the control group. Univariate models were conducted using Cox proportional hazards models with a single predictor of timeliness. Variables that were significant predictors of timeliness in univariate analysis were included in multivariate Cox regression. Overall risk of bias was not included to avoid collinearity with individual items evaluating data representativeness and quality. The overall multivariate p value was < 2e-16 according to the Wald test.
| Reference group | Comparison group | Univariate Cox regression hazard ratio [95 % CI] | Univariate Cox regression p value | Multivariate Cox regression hazard ratio [95 % CI] | Multivariate Cox regression p value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publication Venue -Journal article (peer-reviewed) | Media | 20.4 [16.4–25.3] | < 2e-16 *** | 17.0 [13.3–21.8] | < 2e-16 *** |
| Institutional Report | 12.2 [10.1–14.8] | < 2e-16 *** | 12.4 [10.1–15.1] | < 2e-16 *** | |
| Preprint | 2.3 [2.0–2.5] | < 2e-16 *** | 2.2 [2.0–2.5] | < 2e-16 *** | |
| Presentation or Conference | 1.3 [1.0–1.8] | 0.05 | 1.3 [0.96–1.7] | 0.09 | |
| Sample Frame -Household and community samples | Blood donors or residual sera | 0.76 [0.65–0.88] | 3.7e-04 *** | 0.88 [0.74–1.05] | 0.15 |
| Healthcare workers and caregivers | 0.58 [0.51–0.66] | < 2e-16*** | 0.81 [0.70–0.94] | 0.004 ** | |
| Other special populations | 0.58 [0.51–0.66] | < 2e-16*** | 0.74 [0.64–0.86] | 6e-05 *** | |
| Multiple populations | 0.69 [0.58–0.82] | 1.7e-05 *** | 0.90 [0.74–1.08] | 0.26 | |
| WHO Region -AMRO | AFRO | 1.13 [0.89–1.43] | 0.30 | 1.17 [0.92–1.49] | 0.19 |
| EMRO | 0.77 [0.62–0.95] | 0.02 * | 0.84 [0.68–1.05] | 0.14 | |
| EURO | 0.85 [0.77–0.95] | 0.004 ** | 0.95 [0.85–1.06] | 0.33 | |
| SEARO | 1.09 [0.91–1.31] | 0.35 | 1.03 [0.86–1.25] | 0.73 | |
| WPRO | 0.87 [0.72–1.06] | 0.17 | 0.90 [0.74–1.10] | 0.30 | |
| Was the sample representative of the target population? -Yes | No | 0.96 [0.87–1.06] | 0.43 | 1.10 [0.99 − 1.22] | 0.09 |
| Unclear | 1.30 [1.11–1.53] | 0.001 ** | 1.07 [0.90–1.27] | 0.45 | |
| Was there appropriate sample coverage? -Yes | No | 0.83 [0.71–0.98] | 0.03 * | 0.85 [0.72–1.00] | 0.06 |
| Unclear | 1.04 [0.93–1.16] | 0.48 | 1.01 [0.90 − 1.14] | 0.82 | |
| Did the antibody test used meet FDA EUA standards? -Yes | No | 1.09 [0.91–1.32] | 0.35 | 1.01 [0.83–1.22] | 0.92 |
| Unclear | 1.24 [1.13–1.36] | 8.5e-06 *** | 1.08 [0.98–1.19] | 0.14 | |
| Was appropriate sampling or a population adjustment performed? -Yes | No | 0.77 [0.67–0.89] | 3.6e-04 *** | 1.20 [1.03–1.41] | 0.02 * |
| Geographical Scope -National | Regional | 0.88 [0.75–1.03] | 0.099 | Not included | Not included |
| Local | 0.93 [0.82–1.05] | 0.23 | Not included | Not included | |
| Overall Risk of Bias -Low | Moderate | 1.13 [0.87–1.47] | 0.34 | Not included | Not included |
| High | 1.12 [0.87–1.44] | 0.38 | Not included | Not included | |
| Unclear | 2.22 [1.65–2.99] | 1.2e-07 *** | Not included | Not included |
Levels of Significance * - < 0.05; ** < 0.01; *** - < 0.001