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. 2022 Oct 6;10:1019168. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1019168

Table 4.

Risk stratification based on the optimal cut-off value in the models.

Approaches Patients
(n = 4,006)
Probability P-value
Predicted Actual
Logistic regression
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,069 22.18% 23.88% (494/2,069) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,937 77.19% 77.13% (1,494/1,937)
XGBoosting machine
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,103 22.16% 23.92% (503/2,103) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,903 78.06% 78.03 (1,485/1,903)
Random forest
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,122 30.10% 24.18% (513/2,122) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,884 69.43% 78.29% (1,475/1,884)
Gradient boosting machine
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,110 22.37% 23.93% (505/2,110) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,896 78.04% 78.22% (1,483/1,896)
Neural network
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,144 19.01% 24.53% (526/2,144) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,862 77.36% 78.52% (1,462/1,862)
Decision tree
Low risk (≤ 40.00%) 2,085 22.14% 24.36% (508/2,085) <0.001
High risk (>40.00%) 1,921 77.62% 77.04% (1,480/1,921)

XGBooting, eXtreme Gradient Boosting.