Table 5.
Current Model | ENDPAC Model | |
---|---|---|
Predictors | Age, weight change, HbA1c change, HbA1c change rates (or HbA1c in prior 6 or 18 months) | Age, weight change, glycemic change |
Number of predictors | 4 | 3 with information from 4 dimensions* |
Population | • Single elevated HbA1c • No long-standing diabetes • No history of pancreatic cancer • 12 months continuous health plan enrollment |
New onset of diabetes:
• Two consecutive elevated glycemic tests within 90 days or one elevated glycemic lab followed by diabetes treatment • No history of diabetes treatment • No history of pancreatic cancer • Normal glycemic test* in prior 18 months • 12 months continuous health plan enrollment Implementation in the current study for the purpose of comparison with the PAC-Glycemia Model: • Two consecutives elevated HgA1c within 90 days • No history of pancreatic cancer • Normal HgA1c in prior 18 months • 12 months continuous health plan enrollment |
Time period | 1/1/2010 and 09/30/2018 | 1/1/2010 and 09/30/2018 |
Number of eligible patients | 109k | 18k |
Number of PDAC events | 319 | 95 |
Incidence rate | 1.4/1,000 person-years of follow-up | 2.0/1,000 person-years of follow-up |
See more details in DISCUSSION Section.