Skip to main content
. 2017 Dec 13;113(1):97–108. doi: 10.1093/bja/aeu054

Table 2.

Multivariate models for 30-day mortality and O-E LOS >2 days. *The P-values for the overall test for TV (ml) per kg IBW for 30-day mortality and LOS O-E >2 days are P<0.015 and P<0.010. NS, not significant

Variable 30-day mortality
O-E LOS >2 days
HR 95% Confidence limits P-value OR 95% Confidence limits P-value
TV IBW group (ml kg−1)*
 3–6 1.372 0.816, 2.307 0.2335 1.365 1.065, 1.748 0.0139
 6–8 1.611 1.249, 2.077 0.0002 1.108 1.024, 1.199 0.0109
 8–10 (ref.)
 10–12 1.056 0.694, 1.608 0.799 0.914 0.827, 1.009 0.0735
 12–20 2.081 0.941, 4.602 0.0704 0.714 0.57, 0.893 0.0032
Dynamic compliance (ml cm−1 H2O)
 0–25 1.403 1.041, 1.89 0.0263 0.716 0.648, 0.791 <0.0001
 25–30 0.967 0.695, 1.346 0.8427 0.906 0.826, 0.994 0.0369
 30–37 (ref.)
 37–150 0.994 0.712, 1.387 0.9704 1.029 0.941, 1.125 0.5351
Obstructive disease
 with steroid use 0.527 0.194, 1.429 0.2078 NS NS NS
 without steroid use 1.273 0.981, 1.651 0.0693 NS NS NS
Length of intubation (h)
 0–2 1.219 0.932, 1.595 0.1477 0.618 0.558, 0.686 <0.0001
 2–4 (ref.)
 4–6 0.94 0.684, 1.293 0.7047 1.614 1.487, 1.752 <0.0001
 >6 1.065 0.752, 1.507 0.7223 3.002 2.724 <0.0001
TT before operating theatre 2.218 1.64, 3 <0.0001 NS NS NS
Age (yr)
 <45 (ref.)
 45–55 1.442 0.885, 2.349 0.1418 1.138 1.032, 1.254 0.0096
 56–65 1.502 0.957, 2.36 0.0771 1.21 1.099, 1.332 0.0001
 >65 1.917 1.275, 2.882 0.0018 1.197 1.086, 1.319 0.0003
Female gender 1.024 0.8, 1.311 0.8524 1.213 1.127, 1.307 <0.0001
Race
 White (ref.)
 Asian 0.553 0.29, 1.057 0.0731 NS NS NS
 Black 0.911 0.671, 1.236 0.5492 NS NS NS
 Hispanic 1.064 0.771, 1.468 0.7075 NS NS NS
 Other 0.908 0.653, 1.262 0.564 NS NS NS
BMI group (kg m−2)
 10–18.5 1.273 0.822, 1.972 0.2797 0.885 0.728, 1.075 0.2192
 18.6–25 (ref.)
 25–30 0.869 0.672, 1.123 0.2832 1.001 0.923, 1.087 0.9733
 30–35 0.757 0.535, 1.069 0.1141 1.186 1.071, 1.315 0.0011
 >35 0.573 0.35, 0.937 0.0266 1.202 1.061, 1.361 0.0037
ASA physical status
 I or II 0.332 0.165, 0.669 0.002 0.889 0.821, 0.962 0.0035
 III (ref.)
 IV or V 1.967 1.511, 2.562 <0.0001 1.066 0.945, 1.202 0.3004
APR-DRG SOI
 Minor
 Moderate 1.282 0.551, 2.982 0.5643 1.237 1.142, 1.341 <0.0001
 Severe 1.665 0.652, 4.252 0.2862 1.125 0.99, 1.278 0.0711
 Extreme 3.615 1.368, 9.554 0.0096 1.616 1.298, 2.011 <0.0001
APR-DRG ROM
 Minor
 Moderate 1.793 0.832, 3.865 0.136 1.092 0.992, 1.202 0.0722
 Severe 8.142 3.626, 18.284 <0.0001 1.361 1.166, 1.589 <0.0001
 Extreme 30.193 12.908, 70.624 <0.0001 1.653 1.289, 2.121 <0.0001
Laparoscopic surgery 0.933 0.701, 1.241 0.6336 0.633 0.579, 0.692 <0.0001
General surgery 1.173 0.898, 1.532 0.242 1.526 1.416, 1.644 <0.0001
Emergency 1.154 0.896, 1.486 0.2663 1.193 1.058, 1.346 0.0039
Year of service
 2008 1.064 0.782, 1.447 0.6932 0.837 0.764, 0.918 0.0002
 2009 1.001 0.736, 1.362 0.9958 0.642 0.585, 0.704 <0.0001
 2010 0.833 0.609, 1.139 0.2517 0.654 0.597, 0.716 <0.0001
 2011 (ref.)