Table 4.
Lasso estimates on the main drivers of economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa
| All countries | Low income | Countries | Middle | High income | Countries | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | |
| Variables | DSL | POLR | POIVLR | DSL | POLR | POIVLR | DSL | POLR | POIVLR |
| Manufacturing value addition | 0.062* | 0.066* | 0.066* | 0.125*** | 0.114*** | 0.114*** | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| (0.034) | (0.034) | (0.034) | (0.028) | (0.024) | (0.024) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.008) | |
| Population (urban) | 0.273*** | 0.309*** | 0.255** | 0.318** | 0.349** | 0.349** | 0.110 | 0.152 | 0.152 |
| (0.089) | (0.104) | (0.114) | (0.155) | (0.170) | (0.170) | (0.300) | (0.264) | (0.264) | |
| Financial development | 0.142*** | 0.133*** | 0.144*** | 0.165*** | 0.142*** | 0.142*** | 0.040 | 0.047 | 0.047 |
| (0.031) | (0.027) | (0.030) | (0.047) | (0.045) | (0.045) | (0.034) | (0.030) | (0.030) | |
| Government expenditure | 0.032*** | 0.034*** | 0.065** | 0.058*** | 0.059*** | 0.059*** | 0.036* | 0.023 | 0.023 |
| (0.011) | (0.011) | (0.029) | (0.020) | (0.018) | (0.018) | (0.020) | (0.022) | (0.022) | |
| Macroeconomic management | 0.757*** | 0.654** | 0.737*** | 1.493*** | 0.825** | 0.825** | 0.885* | 0.602 | 0.602 |
| (0.274) | (0.261) | (0.269) | (0.511) | (0.371) | (0.371) | (0.497) | (0.438) | (0.438) | |
| Globalization | 0.090** | 0.078* | 0.063 | 0.002 | 0.019 | 0.019 | − 0.002 | 0.036*** | 0.036*** |
| (0.041) | (0.041) | (0.042) | (0.031) | (0.028) | (0.028) | (0.023) | (0.013) | (0.013) | |
| Social inclusion | 3.308*** | 2.497*** | 3.007*** | − 1.502 | − 1.017 | − 1.017 | 3.231** | 1.352 | 1.352 |
| (0.904) | (0.825) | (1.006) | (1.447) | (1.222) | (1.222) | (1.425) | (1.045) | (1.045) | |
| Observations | 1,720 | 1,720 | 1,720 | 798 | 798 | 798 | 350 | 350 | 350 |
| Variables of interest | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Controls | 56 | 56 | 56 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 |
| Controls selected | 39 | 39 | 46 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| Instruments | – | – | 12 | – | – | 7 | – | – | 7 |
| Wald statistics | 89.43*** | 81.72*** | 78.11*** | 38.22*** | 49.72*** | 49.72*** | 16.28** | 24.29*** | 24.29*** |
| Wald p value | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.022 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Countries | 42 | 42 | 42 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
DSL Double-selection lasso, POLR partialing-out linear lasso regression, POIVLR partialing-out instrumental variable linear regression. Robust standard errors in parentheses
*p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01;