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. 2022 Oct 21:1–36. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1007/s13132-022-01055-1

Table 4.

Lasso estimates on the main drivers of economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa

All countries Low income Countries Middle High income Countries
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
Variables DSL POLR POIVLR DSL POLR POIVLR DSL POLR POIVLR
Manufacturing value addition 0.062* 0.066* 0.066* 0.125*** 0.114*** 0.114*** 0.008 0.010 0.010
(0.034) (0.034) (0.034) (0.028) (0.024) (0.024) (0.007) (0.008) (0.008)
Population (urban) 0.273*** 0.309*** 0.255** 0.318** 0.349** 0.349** 0.110 0.152 0.152
(0.089) (0.104) (0.114) (0.155) (0.170) (0.170) (0.300) (0.264) (0.264)
Financial development 0.142*** 0.133*** 0.144*** 0.165*** 0.142*** 0.142*** 0.040 0.047 0.047
(0.031) (0.027) (0.030) (0.047) (0.045) (0.045) (0.034) (0.030) (0.030)
Government expenditure 0.032*** 0.034*** 0.065** 0.058*** 0.059*** 0.059*** 0.036* 0.023 0.023
(0.011) (0.011) (0.029) (0.020) (0.018) (0.018) (0.020) (0.022) (0.022)
Macroeconomic management 0.757*** 0.654** 0.737*** 1.493*** 0.825** 0.825** 0.885* 0.602 0.602
(0.274) (0.261) (0.269) (0.511) (0.371) (0.371) (0.497) (0.438) (0.438)
Globalization 0.090** 0.078* 0.063 0.002 0.019 0.019  − 0.002 0.036*** 0.036***
(0.041) (0.041) (0.042) (0.031) (0.028) (0.028) (0.023) (0.013) (0.013)
Social inclusion 3.308*** 2.497*** 3.007***  − 1.502  − 1.017  − 1.017 3.231** 1.352 1.352
(0.904) (0.825) (1.006) (1.447) (1.222) (1.222) (1.425) (1.045) (1.045)
Observations 1,720 1,720 1,720 798 798 798 350 350 350
Variables of interest 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Controls 56 56 56 66 66 66 66 66 66
Controls selected 39 39 46 25 25 25 27 27 27
Instruments 12 7 7
Wald statistics 89.43*** 81.72*** 78.11*** 38.22*** 49.72*** 49.72*** 16.28** 24.29*** 24.29***
Wald p value 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.022 0.001 0.001
Countries 42 42 42 20 20 20 22 22 22

DSL Double-selection lasso, POLR partialing-out linear lasso regression, POIVLR partialing-out instrumental variable linear regression. Robust standard errors in parentheses

*p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01;