Table 6.

Disease progression parameters as given by the CDC document (CDC-Planning-Parameters). One value per line applies to all age groups. Abbreviations: prob: probability, dt: dwell time, Attd: attended, Hosp: hospitalized, Vent: ventilated, (D): resulting in death, and (H): resulting in hospitalization.

		Age
Progression	Attribute	0–4	5–17	18–49	50–64	65+
Exposed - Asympt	prob	0.35
Exposed - Asympt	dt-mean	5
Exposed - Asympt	dt-std dev	1
Asympt - Recovered	prob	1
Asympt - Recovered	dt-mean	5
Asympt - Recovered	dt-std dev	1
Exposed - Presympt	prob	0.65
Exposed - Presympt	dt-fixed	3
Presympt - Sympt	prob	1
Presympt - Sympt	dt-fixed	2
Sympt - Attd	prob	0.9594	0.9894	0.9594	0.912	0.788
Sympt - Attd	dt-discrete	1:0.175, 2:0.175, 3:0.1, 4:0.1, 5:0.1, 6:0.1, 7:0.1, 8:0.05, 9:0.05, 10:0.05
Attd - Recovered	prob	1
Attd - Recovered	dt-mean	5
Attd - Recovered	dt-std dev	1
Sympt - Attd(D)	prob	0.0006	0.0006	0.0006	0.003	0.017
Sympt - Attd(D)	dt-fixed	2
Attd(D) - Hosp(D)	prob	0.95
Attd(D) - Hosp(D)	dt-fixed	2
Hosp(D) - Vent(D)	prob	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.15	0.225
Hosp(D) - Vent(D)	dt-fixed	2
Vent(D) - Death	prob	1
Vent(D) - Death	dt-fixed	4
Hosp(D) - Death	prob	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.85	0.775
Hosp(D) - Death	dt-fixed	6
Attd(D) - Death	prob	0.05
Attd(D) - Death	dt-fixed	8
Sympt - Attd(H)	prob	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.085	0.195
Sympt - Attd(H)	dt-fixed	1
Attd(H) - Hosp	prob	1
Attd(H) - Hosp	dt-mean	5	5	5	5.3	4.2
Attd(H) - Hosp	dt-std dev	4.6	4.6	4.6	5.2	5.2
Hosp - Recovered	prob	0.2
Hosp - Recovered	dt-mean	3.1	3.1	3.1	7.8	6.5
Hosp - Recovered	dt-std dev	3.7	3.7	3.7	6.3	4.9
Hosp - Vent	prob	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.15	0.225
Hosp - Vent	dt-mean	1
Hosp - Vent	dt-std dev	0.2
Vent - Recovered	prob	1
Vent - Recovered	dt-mean	2.1	2.1	2.1	6.8	5.5
Vent - Recovered	dt-std dev	3.7	3.7	3.7	6.3	4.9