Table 3. Estimated change in the number of deaths in 2019 among adults ages 25–64 for hypothetical policy scenarios.

	Women			Men
Policy Scenario	Simulated Age-adjusted Mortality Rate	Change from Actual Age-adjusted Rate	Change in Number of Deaths	Simulated Age-adjusted Mortality Rate	Change from Actual Age-adjusted Rate	Change in Number of Deaths
1. Maximum Liberal	168.6	-33.7%	-86,181	351.4	-20.1%	-84,849
2. Maximum Conservative	362.0	42.4%	108,562	553.7	25.9%	109,073
3. Hybrid	162.8	-36.0%	-92,057	325.7	-25.9%	-109,393
4. Status Quo	278.7	9.6%	24,643	486.4	10.6%	44,567

Notes: The liberal scenario set all policy scores to 1; the conservative scenario set all policy scores to 0; the hybrid scenario set all policy scores to 1 except for health and welfare, which was set to 0.5, and marijuana which was set to 0; the status quo scenario replaced scores for policy domains trending in a liberal or conservative direction on a national basis with 1 or 0, respectively. In 2019 there were 255,935 deaths among 86,100,459 women aged 25–64 and 421,559 deaths among 84,822,445 men aged 25–64 years (Source: CDC Wonder). Detailed calculations are available in S1 and S2 Tables in S1 File.