Table 2.

Model class selection results (no damage case).

	$S_1{E}_{spat,1}{E}_{temp,1}$ (Over-Simplified)	$S_1{E}_{spat,2}{E}_{temp,2}$ (Most Plausible)	$S_1{E}_{spat,3}{E}_{temp,3}$ (Over-Complicated)
Log-likelihood	942.91	1004.71	991.37
Log-Ockham factor	−37.12	−44.20	−52.45
Posterior model probability	1.72 × 10−24	1.00	4.20 × 10−10