Table 2.

Average Marginal Effects (Standard Errors) from Logistic Regressions Predicting the Likelihood of Midlife First Marriage, by Gender

	Women		Men		Cross-Model Difference
Age
40-44 (reference)
45-49	− .010 (.002)	***	− .009 (.002)	***
50-54	− .015 (.002)	***	− .013 (.002)	***
55-59	− .024 (.003)	***	− .018 (.002)	***
Race and ethnicitya,b
White (reference)
Black	− .008 (.002)	**	.003 (.002)		***
Hispanic	− .004 (.003)		< .001 (.003)
Other	− .009 (.003)	**	− .004 (.003)
U.S.-born	− .019 (.003)	***	− .016 (.003)	***
Education
Less than high school	− .001 (.003)		− .003 (.003)
High school graduate (reference)
Some college	.003 (.002)		.003 (.003)
Bachelor’s degree or more	.005 (.003)		.005 (.002)	**
Employmenta
Not in labor force (reference)
Unemployed	− .008 (.004)		.013 (.005)	**	***
Worked part time	− .002 (.003)		.008 (.004)	*
Worked full time	< .001 (.003)		.014 (.004)	**	*
Personal incomea,b
<10k	.006 (.004)		− .022 (.003)	***	***
10-25K	− .008 (.003)	*	− .015 (.003)	***
25-40K	− .003 (.003)		− .013 (.003)	***	*
40-55K	.002 (.003)		− .007 (.003)	*	*
55-70K	− .004 (.003)		− .002 (.003)
>70K (reference)
Has disabilitya	− .013 (.003)	***	− .006 (.003)

^*p < .05

^**p < .01

^***p < .001

Data source: American Community Survey, 2019

^aAdjusted Wald test indicating a joint difference (p < .05) in likelihood of first marriage between women aged 18-39 versus 40-59 across the covariate using the SUEST command in Stata.

^bAdjusted Wald test indicating a joint difference (p < .05) in likelihood of first marriage between men aged 18-39 versus 40-59 across the covariate using the SUEST command in Stata.