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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arthritis Rheumatol. 2022 Sep 29;74(11):1746–1754. doi: 10.1002/art.42262

Table 2.

Multivariable predictors of any radiographic progression and progression ≥ 4 SHS Units/Year


Any radiographic progression ≥ 4 SHS Units/Year

Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
OR P OR P OR P OR P OR P


anti-PAD4-IgG1 2.83 0.009 2.93 0.036 6.21 <0.001 5.39 0.006 4.88 0.005
Male vs female 0.40 0.034 0.48 0.30
anti-PAD2 0.26 0.023 0.34 0.19
Average IL-6 1.06 0.010 1.04 0.002 1.03 0.004
Baseline pain 1.03 0.006 1.01 0.52
Baseline SHS>0 4.97 0.001 2.10 0.37


AUC (95% CI) 0.596 (0.528–0.663) 0.817 (0.749–0.887) 0.708 (0.591–0.824) 0.868 (0.795–0.929) 0.851 (0.777–0.915)

SHS, Sharp/van der Heijde score; OD, odds ratio; PAD, peptidylarginine deiminase; IL-6, interleukin-6; AUC, area under the curve.