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. 2022 Oct 29;21:221. doi: 10.1186/s12933-022-01663-w

Table 2.

Incident diagnosis of cardiovascular outcomes

Outcomes Number of events Crude incidence rate Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4
per 1,000 person-years (95% CI)
No history of GDM History of GDM No history of GDM History of GDM HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI)
Total cardiovascular outcome 12,984/203,249 110/1276 5.81 (5.71–5.91) 7.80 (6.34–9.26) 1.53 (1.34–1.76) 1.37 (1.19–1.56) 1.37 (1.19–1.56) 1.36 (1.18–1.55)
Coronary artery disease 5,675/213,822 57/1338 2.59 (2.52–2.65) 4.19 (3.10–5.28) 1.67 (1.38–2.01) 1.33 (1.10–1.61) 1.33 (1.10–1.61) 1.31 (1.08–1.59)
Myocardial infarction 2,108/215,909 30/1358 0.94 (0.90–0.98) 2.13 (1.37–2.89) 2.16 (1.66–2.80) 1.67 (1.29–2.18) 1.68 (1.29–2.19) 1.65 (1.27–2.15)
Ischemic stroke 1,268/217,478 17/1387 0.57 (0.54–0.60) 1.21 (0.63–1.78) 2.10 (1.48–2.98) 1.70 (1.19–2.42) 1.69 (1.19–2.41) 1.68 (1.18–2.39)
Peripheral artery disease 867/217,552 13/1385 0.39 (0.36–0.41) 0.92 (0.42–1.43) 2.47 (1.68–3.65) 1.73 (1.16–2.56) 1.73 (1.16–2.56) 1.69 (1.14–2.51)
Heart failure 2,222/217,322 26/1377 1.00 (0.95–1.04) 1.86 (1.14–2.57) 1.86 (1.40–2.45) 1.43 (1.08–1.89) 1.43 (1.08–1.90) 1.41 (1.06–1.87)
Aortic stenosis 641/217,757 3/1390 0.29 (0.26–0.31) 0.21 (0.03–0.45) 1.07 (0.48–2.39) 0.85 (0.38–1.91) 0.85 (0.38–1.90) 0.84 (0.37–1.87)
Mitral regurgitation 861/217,593 13/1,386 0.39 (0.36–0.41) 0.92 (0.42–1.43) 2.48 (1.68–3.65) 2.28 (1.53–3.38) 2.26 (1.52–3.36) 2.25 (1.51–3.34)
Atrial fibrillation/flutter 4,691/215,787 40/1383 2.12 (2.06–2.18) 2.85 (1.97–3.73) 1.62 (1.30–2.02) 1.48 (1.18–1.84) 1.48 (1.18–1.84) 1.47 (1.18–1.84)
Venous thromboembolism 3,217/209,543 20/1342 1.50 (1.44–1.55) 1.47 (0.82–2.11) 1.10 (0.80–1.50) 1.06 (0.78–1.46) 1.06 (0.78–1.46) 1.06 (0.77–1.45)

Data are presented as proportion (%)

CI confidence interval, GDM gestational diabetes mellitus

Model 1, adjusted for age, race, BMI, smoking by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis

Model 2, adjusted for age, race, BMI, smoking, prevalent diseases (hypertension, diabetes, or hypercholesterolemia) by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis

Model 3, adjusted for age, race, BMI, smoking, prevalent diseases (hypertension, diabetes, or hypercholesterolemia), and medication (aspirin, anti-hypertensive, and cholesterol-lowering agent) by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis

Model 4, adjusted for age, race, BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, prevalent diseases (hypertension, diabetes, or hypercholesterolemia), medication (aspirin, Anti-hypertensive, and cholesterol-lowering agent), early menopause, and hysterectomy by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis