Table 2.
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GSVI_Covid | −0.00828*** | −0.00873*** | −0.0155*** | −0.0123** | −0.00256 | −0.00704* | −0.00683 | |
(0.00221) | (0.00234) | (0.00354) | (0.00472) | (0.00361) | (0.00363) | (0.00483) | ||
Past Returns | −5.261** | −7.986*** | −8.893** | −1.952 | −12.58*** | −8.720** | −3.530 | |
(2.561) | (2.667) | (3.482) | (3.139) | (3.184) | (3.408) | (3.077) | ||
GSVI_Index | −0.0165*** | −0.0107*** | −0.00889*** | −0.00747* | ||||
(0.00426) | (0.00349) | (0.00244) | (0.00377) | |||||
D.GSVI_Covid | −0.0747*** | |||||||
(0.0149) | ||||||||
D.GSVI_Index | −0.00858** | |||||||
(0.00400) | ||||||||
GSVI_Covid* Pandemic declared week | −0.0353*** | |||||||
(0.00709) | ||||||||
Pandemic declared week | −1.216** | |||||||
(0.485) | ||||||||
GSVI_Covid* Advanced countries | −0.0128*** | |||||||
(0.00469) | ||||||||
Advanced countries | 0.568*** | |||||||
(0.165) | ||||||||
D.Stringency Index | −0.0191 | |||||||
(0.0259) | ||||||||
Constant | −0.0288 | −0.0299 | −0.897*** | −0.598* | −0.931*** | −0.770** | −0.877*** | −0.867*** |
(0.0784) | (0.0828) | (0.219) | (0.346) | (0.308) | (0.342) | (0.330) | (0.293) | |
Day of the week dummies | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Month dummies | No | No | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Observations | 3552 | 3552 | 3552 | 2644 | 2065 | 2644 | 2644 | 2021 |
R-squared | 0.005 | 0.008 | 0.092 | 0.099 | 0.092 | 0.162 | 0.100 | 054 |
Note: This table presents the relationship between Google Search Volume of COVID-19 (GSVI_Covid) and daily market returns. GSVI_Index is the search volume of market indies. Higher value of Stringency Index indicates higher restrictions. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.