Table 5.
Moderation effects of unemployment rate and percentage of fixed-term contracts at the macro-provincial level on the relationship between employment uncertainty and fertility intentions: employed individuals aged 18–50 who are married/cohabiting and living in Italy, 2017
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Stability perception (demeaned) | 1.093* | 1.074 |
| (0.053) | (0.050) | |
| Resilience perception (demeaned) | 1.056 | 1.098*** |
| (0.058) | (0.037) | |
| Unemployment rate (reference category = First tertile) | ||
| Second tertile unemployment rate | 0.763 | – |
| (0.230) | ||
| Third tertile unemployment rate | 0.781 | – |
| (0.270) | ||
| Stability perception × second tertile unemployment | 0.994 | – |
| (0.067) | ||
| Stability perception × third tertile unemployment | 0.840** | – |
| (0.059) | ||
| Resilience perception × second tertile unemployment | 0.987 | – |
| (0.068) | ||
| Resilience perception × third tertile unemployment | 1.099 | – |
| (0.114) | ||
| Fixed-term contract percentage (reference category = First tertile) | ||
| Second tertile fixed-term contract percentage | – | 0.355** |
| (0.175) | ||
| Third tertile fixed-term contract percentage | – | 0.237*** |
| (0.117) | ||
| Stability perception × second tertile fixed-term contracts | – | 1.005 |
| (0.084) | ||
| Stability perception × third tertile fixed-term contracts | – | 0.870** |
| (0.061) | ||
| Resilience perception × second tertile fixed-term contracts | – | 0.924 |
| (0.064) | ||
| Resilience perception × third tertile fixed-term contracts | – | 1.047 |
| (0.087) | ||
| Observations | 519 | 519 |
| Regional fixed effects | Yes | Yes |
| Socio-demographic controls | Yes | Yes |
***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10.
Notes: Odds ratios originate from ordered logistic regression. The specification includes: controls for risk attitude; sex; a quadratic term for age; whether the respondent has a university qualification; (log) household income in the last twelve months; a dummy for childless respondents; and one for self-employed respondents. The macro-provincial unemployment rate and the fixed-term contracts percentage are calculated by aggregating data from the Italian LFS, 2017. Robust standard errors, clustered at the macro-provincial level, are shown in parentheses.
Source: As for Table 4.