Table 5.
Performance estimates of ROMA and the combined 7MetP+ROMA model for early-stage OvCa in the combined Specimen Set.
| Entire Set | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROMA | ROMA + 7MetP | Difference | P | ||
| AUC (95% CI) | 0.84 (0.79–0.90) | 0.87 (0.82–0.93) | 0.03 (0.01 to 0.04) | <.001 | |
| At 11.4% risk threshold for premenopausal and 29.9% for postmenopausal (same risk as ROMA) | Sensitivity | 0.76 (0.69 – 0.82) | 0.76 (0.70 – 0.82) | 0.00 (−0.04 to 0.05) | .464 |
| Specificity | 0.78 (0.75 – 0.81) | 0.89 (0.86 – 0.92) | 0.11 (0.08 to 0.14) | <.001 | |
| PPV | 0.52 (0.45 – 0.58) | 0.68 (0.61 – 0.75) | 0.16 (0.11 to 0.21) | <.001 | |
| NPV | 0.91 (0.89 – 0.94) | 0.92 (0.90 – 0.94) | 0.01 (−0.01 to 0.02) | .091 | |
Abbreviations: PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value. P-values for comparison of AUCs represent likelihood ratio tests. Risk threshold corresponding to 11.4% in premenopausal women and 29.9% for postmenopausal were chosen based on reported findings from Ortiz-Munoz and colleagues.(21) 1-sided P-values are reported as we expect that the combined 7MetP+ROMA will yield improved performance estimates compared to ROMA alone.