Table 7. Risk of infection in close contacts.
Study ID | Type of
transmission |
Risk of infection |
---|---|---|
Abdulrahman 2020 | Community | Eid Alfitr: Pre-: 2990 (4.2%); Post-: 4987 (6.7%); p <0.001; Ashura: Pre-: 3571 (3.7%); Post-: 7803 (6.6%); p <0.001 |
Arnedo-Pena 2020 | Household | The health profession of index case was a significant protective factor (p<0.007). Older age of secondary cases, two household members, and
higher age of index case were significantly associated with elevated risk of infection: p<0.001 in each case |
Bi 2020 | Local
Household Community |
Household contact (OR 6·3; 95% CI 1·5–26·3) and travelling together (OR 7·1; 1·4–34·9) were significantly associated with infection. Reporting
contact that occurred often was also associated with increased risk of infection compared with moderate-frequency contact (OR 8·8; 95% CI 2·6–30·1) |
Chen 2020b | Nosocomial | In multivariate analysis, there existed higher risk of seroconversion for close contacts with patient 2 (OR, 6.605, 95% CI, 1.123, 38.830) and
doctors exposed to their patient (OR, 346.837, 95% CI 8.924, 13479.434), while the lower risk of seroconversion was closely related to direct contact with COVID-19 patients wearing face mask (OR, 0.127, 95% CI 0.017, 0.968). |
Chen 2020c | Local
Community Household Nosocomial |
Infection rate is highest when living with the case (13.26%), followed by taking the same means of transportation (11.91%). After removing
the influence factors of the "super spreader" incident, the infection rate of vehicle contact dropped to 1.80%. The infection rate (7.18%) of entertainment activities such as gatherings, meeting guests, and playing cards was also relatively high, as was short-term face-to-face unprotected conversations or doing errands (6.02%). There was a statistically significant difference in the infection rate among the four categories of life contact, transportation contact, medical contact, and other contact (p<0.005). participation in Buddhist gatherings caused transmission. A total of 28 people were diagnosed as confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia, 4 were asymptomatic infections, and the infection rate of close contacts reached 32.99% (32/97), which was much higher than the average infection rate (6.15). %), the difference is statistically significant (p<0.005). |
Cheng 2020 | Household
Nosocomial |
The overall secondary clinical attack rate was 0.7% (95% CI, 0.4%-1.0%). The attack rate was higher among the 1818 contacts whose exposure
to index cases started within 5 days of symptom onset (1.0% [95% CI, 0.6%-1.6%]) compared with those who were exposed later (0 cases from 852 contacts; 95% CI, 0%-0.4%). The 299 contacts with exclusive presymptomatic exposures were also at risk (attack rate, 0.7% [95% CI, 0.2%-2.4%]). The attack rate was higher among household (4.6% [95% CI, 2.3%-9.3%]) and nonhousehold (5.3% [95% CI, 2.1%-12.8%]) family contacts than that in health care or other settings. The attack rates were higher among those aged 40 to 59 years (1.1% [95% CI, 0.6%-2.1%]) and those aged 60 years and older (0.9% [95% CI, 0.3%-2.6%]). |
Chu 2020a | Household | Five (10%) of 48 secondary cases compared with 130 (33%) of 398 non-case household contacts reported potential community exposures:
unadjusted OR 0.24 (95%CI 0.09 to 0.62), p=0.003 |
Dattner 2020 | Household | PCR: 44% of adults were infected compared to 25% of the children (n=3353: 1809 children and 1544 adults)
Serology: 34% of these children and 48% of the adults tested serologically positive (n=705: 417 children and 288 adults |
Dimcheff 2020 | Community
Nosocomial Household |
HCWs exposed to a known COVID-19 case outside work had a significantly higher seroprevalence at 14.8% (23 of 155) compared to those who
did not 3.7% (48 of 1,296; OR, 4.53; 95% CI, 2.67–7.68; P < 0.0001) |
Doung-ngern 2020 | Local | Wearing masks all the time during contact was independently associated with lower risk of COVID-19 infection compared to not wearing
masks (aOR 0.23, 95% CI 0.09–45 0.60), while wearing masks sometimes during contact was not (aOR 0.87, 95% CI 0.41–1.84). Maintaining at least 1m distance from a COVID patient (aOR 0.15, 95% CI 0.04–0.63) and duration of close contact ≤15 minutes versus longer (aOR 0.24, 95% CI 0.07–0.90) were significantly associated with lower risk of infection transmission |
Fateh-Moghadam 2020 | Community | Workplace exposure was associated with higher risk of becoming a case than cohabi_x0019_ng with a case or having a non-cohabiting family
member or friend who was a case. The greatest risk of transmission to contacts was found for the 14 cases <15 years of age (22.4%); 8 of the 14, who ranged in age from <1 to 11 years) infected 11 of 49 contacts. |
Fontanet 2020a | Local | No significant difference in attack rates across primary school pupils, teachers, non-teaching staff, parents, and relatives, respectively (p=0.29). |
Helsingen 2020 | Local | 11 individuals in the training arm (0.8% of those tested) and 27 in the non-training arm (2.4% of those those tested) tested positive for SARS-
CoV-2 antibodies (p=0.001) |
Hobbs 2020 | Local
Household Community |
Case-patients were significantly more likely to have had close contact with a person with known COVID-19 than control participants (aOR = 3.2,
95% CI = 2.0–5.0) Case-patients were significantly more likely to have attended gatherings with persons outside their household, including social functions (aOR = 2.4, 95% CI = 1.1–5.5), activities with children (aOR = 3.3, 95% CI = 1.3–8.4), or to have had visitors at home (aOR = 1.9, 95% CI = 1.2–2.9) during the 14 days before the SARS-CoV-2 test. Parents of 64% of case-patients and 76% of control participants reported that their child and all staff members wore masks inside the facility (aOR = 0.4, 95% CI = 0.2–0.8). |
Hu 2020 | Household
Community |
Household contacts were associated with a significantly larger risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection than other types of contact (P<0.001).
The transmission risk in the first generation was significantly higher than the later generations (p<0.001), possibly due to improved case isolation and contacts quarantine that deplete the number of susceptible individuals in the cluster. |
Hua 2020 | Household | Incidence of infection in child close contacts was significantly lower than that in adult contacts: 13.2% vs 21.2%, p=0.004 |
Islam 2020 | Household
Local Community Nosocomial |
The secondary attack rate among household contacts was at the highest risk of attack (13.04%, 95% CI 9.67-16.41) followed by funeral
ceremonies (8.33%, 95% CI 3.99-12.66) and family contacts (6.52%, 95% CI 4.02-9.02). The attack rate was higher in age groups 50–59 (10.89%, 95% CI 7.05-14.66) and 60–69 (9.09%, 95% CI 5.08-13.09) |
Kawasuji 2020 | Nosocomial | Among symptomatic patients (n =18), the estimated viral load at onset was higher in the index than in the non-index patients (median [95%
confidence interval]: 6.6 [5.2–8.2] vs. 3.1 [1.5–4.8]. In adult (symptomatic and asymptomatic) patients (n = 21), median viral load at the initial sample collection was significantly higher in the index than in the non-index patients (p = 0.02) |
Khanh 2020 | Community | Seating proximity was strongly associated with increased infection risk (RR 7.3, 95% CI 1.2–46.2). |
Laws 2020 | Household | There were no significant differences in secondary infection rates between adult and pediatric contacts among all households (OR: 1.11; 95%
CI: 0.56 to 2.21) or among households with children (OR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.51 to 1.90). |
Laxminarayan 2020 | Local
Household Community |
Secondary attack rate estimates ranged from 1.2% (0.0 to 5.1%) in health care settings to 2.6% (1.6 to 3.9%) in the community and 9.0% (7.5 to
10.5%) in the household. |
Lewis 2020 | Household | Household contacts to COVID-19 patients with immunocompromised conditions and household contacts who themselves had diabetes
mellitus had increased odds of infection with ORs 15.9 (95% CI, 2.4–106.9) and 7.1 (95% CI: 1.2–42.5). Household contacts of a male primary patient were more likely to have secondary infection than those of a female primary patient (SIR, 36% vs 18%; OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.1–5.3). |
Li 2020d | Household | The secondary attack rate to children (aged <18 years) was 4% compared with 20.5% for adult members (odds ratio [OR], .18; 95% confidence
interval [CI], .06–.54; P = .002). The secondary attack rate to the contacts in the household with index patients quarantined at home immediately since onset of symptoms was 0% compared with 18.3% for the contacts in the households without index patients quarantined during the period between initiation of symptoms and hospitalization (OR, 0; 95% CI, .00–.00; p=0.000). The secondary transmission rate for individuals who were spouses of index cases was 27.8% compared with 17.3% for other members in the households (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.22–4.22; p=0.010). |
Liu 2020b | Household
Community Nosocomial |
Compared to young adults aged 20–29 years, the infected risk was higher in children (RR: 2.59, 95%CI: 1.79–3.76), and old people aged 60–69
years (RR: 5.29, 95%CI: 3.76–7.46). People having close relationship with index cases encountered higher infected risk (RR for spouse: 20.68, 95%CI: 14.28–29.95; RR for non-spouse family members: 9.55, 95%CI: 6.73–13.55; RR for close relatives: 5.90, 95%CI: 4.06–8.59). Moreover, contacts exposed to index case in symptomatic period (RR: 2.15, 95%CI: 1.67–2.79), with critically severe symptoms (RR: 1.61, 95%CI: 1.00–2.57) |
Lopez Bernal 2020 | Household
Community |
Secondary attack rates were highest where the primary case was aged <18 years with a significantly higher odds of secondary infection (OR
61, 95% CI 3.3-1133). Where the primary case was admitted to hospital there was a significantly lower odds of secondary infection in the household (OR 0.5, 95% CI 0.2-0.8). Secondary attack rates were lower in larger households. |
Luo 2020a | Household
Community Nosocomial |
Household contacts had a significantly higher risk for secondary infection than did persons who were exposed in health care settings (OR,
0.09, 95%CI 0.04 to 0.20) or those who were exposed on public transportation (OR, 0.01, 95%CI, 0.00 to 0.08). |
Macartney 2020 | Local | The rate of staff member to child transmission was lower (1·5%) than staff to staff transmission (4·4%). |
Malheiro 2020 | Household | Among the intervention cohort,16 of 132 closecontacts tested positive during the follow-up period (attack rate:12.1%, 95% confidence interval
[CI]: 7.1-18.9). In the control cohort,138 of 1495 participants tested positive (attack rate: 9.2%, 95% CI:7.8-10.8) |
Park 2020a | Household
Non-household |
With index patients 30–39 years of age as reference, detection of COVID-19 contacts was significantly higher for index patients >40 years of
age in nonhousehold settings. |
Phiriyasart 2020 | Household | Locally religious and household contacts of confirmed cases had significantly higher risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection than other community
members. |
Poletti 2020 | Unclear | Individuals younger than 70 years were at a significantly lower risk of death after infection than older patients (p<0.001). The risk of death was
62% lower (95% CI: 31–80%; p<0.001) during the second phase of the epidemic. |
Razvi 2020 | Nosocomial | HCWs in patient facing roles had a significantly higher frequency of positive COVID-19 antibody tests (295/1302 [22.7%]) than those in non-
patient facing roles (88/669 [13.2%]), p<0.0001) |
Rosenberg 2020 | Household | Prevalence significantly increased with age, ranging from 23% among those aged <5 years to 68% among those 65 years or older (p<0.0001) |
Speake 2020 | Aircraft | The risk for secondary infections among passengers seated in the mid cabin was significantly greater than for those seated in the aft cabin
(p<0.005). The SAR among mid-cabin passengers in window seats was significantly greater than among those not in window seats (RR 5.2; 95% CI 1.6–16.4; p<0.007). |
Sun 2020 | Household | The family recurrence rate of spouses who introduced cases from the family was 63.87%, which was higher than the recurrence rate of
children (30.53%), parents (28.37%) and other family members (20.93%), and the difference was statistically significant ( P <0.001) . |
Torres 2020 | Community | Antibody positivity rates were 9.9% (95%CI: 8.2-11.8) for 1,009 students and 16.6% (95%CI: 12.1-21.9) for 235 staff. Among students, positivity
was significantly associated with history of contact with a confirmed case (p<0.0001). The greater the number of contacts, the greater the probability that a child was antibody positive (p=0.05). |
van der Hoek 2020 | Household | In families of a confirmed COVID-19 patient, children between 1 and 11 years were less often positive in PCR and serology than older children
and adults. |
Wang 2020b | Household | Face mask use by the primary case and family contacts before the primary case developed symptoms was 79% effective in reducing
transmission (OR=0.21, 95% CI 0.06 to 0.79). Daily use of chlorine or ethanol based disinfectant in households was 77% effective (OR=0.23, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.84). Wearing a mask after illness onset of the primary case was not significantly protective. The risk of household transmission was 18 times higher with frequent daily close contact with the primary case (OR=18.26, 95% CI 3.93 to 84.79), and four times higher if the primary case had diarrhoea (OR=4.10, 95% CI 1.08 to 15.60). Household crowding was not significant. |
Wood 2020 | Household | Households without children had a significantly lower rate of COVID-19: HR per child 0.89; 95% CI 0.84–0.95. Households with childen had
higher rates of COVID-19 tests (9.2% vs 6.1%) Compared to those in households without children, the risk of COVID-19 requiring hospitalisation was lower in those with one child and lower still in those with two or more children: HR 0.72 per child (95% CI 0.60-0.85, p<0.001); adjusted for age - HR 0.83 per child (95% CI 0.70-0.99) |
Wu 2020 | Household
Local Community |
Contacts living in the same household as the index case had significantly higher risk of infection vs those who had only had brief contact with
the index case: RR 41.7 (17.7–98.5), p<0.001). Contacts who had visited, or had contact with the index case in a medical institution had significantly higher risk of acquiring infection vs brief contact with the index case: RR 3.6 (1.42–8.98), p=0.004. Family members who had contact with an index case had significantly higher risk of infection vs healthcare providers or other patients who had been exposed to an index case: RR 31.6 (7.69–130.01), p<0.001. Those who had contact with the index case through work, through study, or in a place of entertainment had a significantly higher risk of infection vs those who had contact with the index case in a medical institution: RR 6.7 (1.34–33.25), p=0.01. Those who had contact with the index case in or near his/her home had a significantly higher risk of infection vs those who had contact with the index case in a medical institution: RR 17.3 (4.20–70.77), p<0.001. The incidence rate among those who wore face masks was significantly lower than that among those who did not use protective measures (0.3% vs. 4.7%, respectively, p<0.001). The incidence rate of contacts with data collected by field investigation was significantly higher than that of contacts with data collected by big data (5.35% versus 0.07%, p<0.001). |
Wu 2020a | Household | Contacts with >72 hours of exposure (SIR, 41.7%; [95% CI: 26.8%–58.3%]) had a higher SIR compared with those without (SIR, 23.2%; [95% CI:
11.4%–41.5%]). One household-level factor was significantly associated with SIR: household members without protective measures after illness onset of the index patient (odds ratio [OR], 4.43; [95% CI: 1.37–14.34]). |
Xin 2020 | Household | Increasing risk of infection among household contacts with female index patients (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 3.84, 95% CI = 1.07–13.78),
critical disease index patients (aHR = 7.58, 95% CI = 1.66–34.66), effective contact duration with index patients > 2 days (aHR = 4.21, 95% CI = 1.29–13.73), and effective contact duration > 11 days (aHR = 17.88, 95% CI = 3.26–98.01) |
Yu 2020 | Household | Family members, colleagues/classmates/travel companions, and doctors-patients accounted for 88.1% (1398), 10.7% (170), and 0.3% (5),
respectively. Following this order, the infection rate was 10.2%, 1.8% and 40.0%, respectively. |
Yung 2020 | Household | Young children <5 years old were at lowest risk of infection (1.3%). Children were most likely to be infected if the household index case was the
mother. |
Zhang 2020a | Household
Local Community |
SAR among household contacts was 16.1% vs 1.1% for social contacts, and 0% for workplace contacts.
Older close contacts had the highest SAR compared with other age groups; 8.0% in persons >60 years of age compared with 1.4%–5.6% in persons <60 years of age. Close contacts that lived with an index case-patient had 12 times the risk for infection and those who had frequent contact with an index case- patient, >5 contacts during 2 days before the index case was confirmed, had 29 times the risk for infection. |
Zhuang 2020 | Household
Community |
The main sources of secondary infection were family exposure (74.5%, 178 cases), transportation exposure accounted for 8.4% (20 cases),
friend/colleague meal exposure accounted for 5.9% (14 cases). Shopping malls, markets, pharmacies and other public place exposure accounted for 5.0% (12 cases), workplace exposure accounted for 3.8% (9 cases), and community exposure accounted for 2.5% (6 cases). |