Table 1.
Out-of-sample predictive performances of our proposals with a common or region-specific Richards’ curve in the first and the second wave.
Wave | Metric | Common |
Regional |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | Coverage | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 1 | 0.96 |
PIW | 1535 | 1178 | 1144 | 3311 | 846 | 1017 | |
RMSE | 423 | 184 | 272 | 399 | 331 | 314 | |
II | Coverage | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0.92 | 0.97 | 0.96 | 0.92 |
PIW | 33393 | 4497 | 4046 | 16900 | 3131 | 3121 | |
RMSE | 12841 | 910 | 995 | 3669 | 1008 | 1038 |