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. 2021 Oct 9;49:100544. doi: 10.1016/j.spasta.2021.100544

Table 1.

Out-of-sample predictive performances of our proposals with a common or region-specific Richards’ curve in the first and the second wave.

Wave Metric Common
Regional
M0 M1 M2 M0 M1 M2
I Coverage 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 1 0.96
PIW 1535 1178 1144 3311 846 1017
RMSE 423 184 272 399 331 314

II Coverage 0.96 0.97 0.92 0.97 0.96 0.92
PIW 33393 4497 4046 16900 3131 3121
RMSE 12841 910 995 3669 1008 1038