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. 2021 Oct 9;49:100544. doi: 10.1016/j.spasta.2021.100544

Table 4.

Validation metrics for the estimated models for the first and the second wave: coverage and rmse out-of-sample (in-sample), WAIC and LOO.

Wave Model Coverage RMSE WAIC LOO
I M0 0.98 (1) 423 (2.1) 2869 3087
M1 0.98 (1) 184 (2.3) 2650 2849
M2 0.98 (0.99) 272 (2.5) 2774 2982

II M0 0.96 (0.99) 12841 (2.8) 4112 4393
M1 0.97 (0.99) 910 (4.6) 3820 4080
M2 0.92 (0.99) 995 (4.1) 3971 4252