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. 2022 Oct 21;150(5):e2022058200. doi: 10.1542/peds.2022-058200

TABLE 4.

Estimate of Additional COVID-19 Cases Resulting from Students and Staff Remaining in School via TTS

Variable 11/29/2021–1/28/2022 (Delta and Omicron) 1/3/2022–1/28/2022 (Omicron)
Analysis-eligible population (A) 1675 940
Total tertiary contacts reported (B) 667 435
Total tertiary contacts enrolled in TTS (C) 192 109
Positive tertiary contacts enrolled in TTS (D) 20 7
Risk calculation
 Proportion of tertiary contacts who enroll in TTS (E = C/B) 0.29 0.25
 Estimate of total positive tertiary contacts (F = D×(1/E)) 68.97 28
 Estimate of positivity rate (transmission)a (G = [F/(A-C)] ×100), % 4.7 (CI: 1.7–13.1) 3.4 (CI: 0.7–15.2)
 Number of additional cases per 100 TTS participants ∼5 ∼4
 Close contacts remaining in school to generate 1 additional case 21 29
a

To calculate rate, tertiary contacts enrolled in TTS were subtracted from analysis-eligible population in the denominator.