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. 2022 Nov 11;3(12):e944–e955. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(22)00287-7

Table 2.

HRs for the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe, critical, and fatal COVID-19

Natural infection versus BNT162b2 vaccination study
Natural infection versus mRNA-1273 vaccination study
Natural infection cohort BNT162b2-vaccinated cohort Natural infection cohort mRNA-1273-vaccinated cohort
Total follow-up, person-weeks 1 985 243 1 921 539 1 374 220 1 338 649
Incidence rate of infection, per 10 000 person-weeks 18·1 (17·5–18·7) 37·1 (36·2–37·9) 16·7 (16·1–17·4) 32·0 (31·0–33·0)
Unadjusted HR for SARS-CoV-2 infection 0·48 (0·46–0·50) 1 (ref) 0·51 (0·49–0·54) 1 (ref)
Adjusted HR for SARS-CoV-2 infection* 0·47 (0·45–0·48) 1 (ref) 0·51 (0·49–0·54) 1 (ref)
Unadjusted HR for severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19 0·25 (0·08–0·77) 1 (ref) 0·27 (0·06–1·32) 1 (ref)
Adjusted HR for severe, critical, or fatal COVID-19* 0·24 (0·08–0·72) 1 (ref) 0·24 (0·05–1·19) 1 (ref)

95% CIs for HRs and incidence rate are shown in parentheses. HR=hazard ratio.

*

Cox regression analysis adjusted for sex, 10-year age group, ten nationality groups, comorbidity count (table 1), and timing of primary infection or first-dose vaccination.

Severe, critical, and fatal COVID-19 cases were defined according to WHO guidelines.37, 38