Table 1.
Session | Detection | SARS-CoV-2 infection status | Total no of presented samples | Prevalence | Diagnostic specificity (Sp) |
Diagnostic sensitivity (SE) |
95% CI Sp | 95% CI SE | Diagnostic specificity (regression model) |
Diagnostic sensitivity (regression model) |
95% CI Sp (regression model) | 95% CI SE (regression model) | Rate of concordant results | Positive predictive value (PPV) | Negative predictive value (NPV) | |
Positive | Negative | |||||||||||||||
Concert 1 | Yes | 6 | 1 | 475 | 0.0189 | 0.9979 | 0.6667 | 0.9879 to 0.9999 | 0.3542 to 0.8794 | 0.9996 | 0.7562 | 0.9988 to 0.9999 | 0.5144 to 0.9009 | 0.9916 | ||
No | 3 | 465 | ||||||||||||||
Concert 2 | Yes | 8 | 1 | 650 | 0.0154 | 0.9984 | 0.8 | 0.9912 to 0.9999 | 0.4902 to 0.9645 | 0.9992 | 0.8510 | 0.9974 to 0.9998 | 0.6242 to 0.9515 | 0.9953 | ||
No | 2 | 639 | ||||||||||||||
Concert 3 | Yes | 9 | 0 | 689 | 0.0159 | 1 | 0.8182 | 0.9944 to 1 | 0.5230 to 0.9677 | 0.9995 | 0.78753 | 0.9991 to 0.9997 | 0.6716 to 0.8704 | 0.9971 | ||
No | 2 | 678 | ||||||||||||||
Concert 4 | Yes | 8 | 0 | 1026 | 0.0078 | 1 | 1 | 0.9962 to 1 | 0.6756 to 1 | 0.9990 | 0.87763 | 0.9913 to 0.9999 | 0.4412 to 0.9849 | 1 | ||
No | 0 | 1018 | ||||||||||||||
All concerts | Yes | 31 | 2 | 2840 | 0.0134 | 0.9993 | 0.8158 | 0.9974 to 0.9999 | 0.6658 to 0.9078 | 0.9993 | 0.8158 | 0.9974 to 0.9999 | 0.6658 to 0.9078 | 0.9968 | 0.7002 | 0.9996 |
No | 7 | 2800 |
PPV and NPV were calculated according to Dohoo et al, assuming a prevalence of 0.2%29