Table 1.
Years 2004–2009 « NmA » | Years 2010–2014 « other Nm » | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Cut-off 100 | Cut-off 50 | Cut-off 75 | Cut-off 100 | |
N district years with a localized epidemic in at least one health centre | 22 | 34 | 15 | 10 |
N (%) district years with a localized epidemic but without any signal at the district level | 4 (18%) | 23 (68%) | 7 (47%) | 3 (30%) |
N (%) district years with localized epidemics and a signal at the district level | 18 (82%) | 11 (32%) | 8 (53%) | 7 (70%) |
N district years where the signal at the district level was preceded by the signal at the HC level | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
Delay between health centre and district level signal*: | ||||
Mean | − 0.4 weeks | − 2.1 weeks | − 1.4 weeks | 0.6 weeks |
Median (range) | 0 week (− 5–4) | − 1 week (− 9–1) | 0 week (− 9–2) | 0 week (− 2–4) |
N (%) district years with localized epidemic with gain in signal detection using surveillance at the HC level | 9 (41%) | 31 (91%) | 10 (67%) | 4 (40%) |
Median (range) number of cases that occurred in the HC during the four weeks following the epidemic signal | 17 (0–269) | 6 (0–219) | 2.5 (0–54) | 1.5 (0–54) |
Cut-offs are expressed as N weekly cases per 100,000 inhabitants.
*negative values mean that the health centre signal preceded the district signal. Positive values usually mean that HC level data were missing for the weeks when the district epidemic was detected.