Table 2.
Estimated parameters of marginal AR(1)-GJR-GARCH(1,1) models with a normal or Student’s innovation.
| LL | AIC | LR | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before COVID-19 | |||||||||||||
| OIL | 0.025 | −0.004 | 0.137** | 0.013 | 0.908*** | 0.083** | 0.962 | −1105.683 | 2223.366 | 45.328*** | |||
| (0.078) | (0.047) | (0.068) | (0.021) | (0.033) | (0.033) | ||||||||
| 0.072 | −0.010 | 0.121* | 0.011 | 0.917*** | 0.076** | 6.257*** | 0.966 | −1094.996 | 2203.992 | 26.126*** | |||
| (0.074) | (0.044) | (0.066) | (0.025) | (0.031) | (0.037) | (1.769) | |||||||
| BTC | −0.104 | 0.074 | 1.307** | 0.089** | 0.852*** | 0.003 | 0.942 | −1588.363 | 3188.726 | 77.108*** | |||
| (0.200) | (0.049) | (0.621) | (0.040) | (0.059) | (0.031) | ||||||||
| −0.008 | 0.028 | 0.143 | 0.095*** | 0.901*** | 0.004 | 3.190*** | 0.999 | −1520.213 | 3054.426 | 84.939*** | |||
| (0.118) | (0.038) | (0.193) | (0.028) | (0.026) | (0.035) | (0.326) | |||||||
| USDT | −0.004 | −0.414*** | 0.017*** | 0.278*** | 0.680*** | 0.059 | 0.988 | −337.770 | 687.541 | 269.089*** | |||
| (0.011) | (0.048) | (0.006) | (0.102) | (0.074) | (0.104) | ||||||||
| −0.012 | −0.368*** | 0.028*** | 0.281** | 0.580*** | 0.244 | 4.013*** | 0.983 | −293.861 | 601.721 | 107.295*** | |||
| (0.010) | (0.042) | (0.010) | (0.114) | (0.091) | (0.181) | (0.683) | |||||||
| USD | 0.000 | −0.029 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.988*** | 0.016 | 0.999 | −160.254 | 332.509 | 18.751*** | |||
| (0.013) | (0.043) | (0.000) | (0.006) | (0.001) | (0.012) | ||||||||
| 0.001 | −0.029 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.988*** | 0.016 | 62.458 | 0.999 | −160.183 | 334.366 | 17.886*** | |||
| (0.013) | (0.043) | (0.000) | (0.006) | (0.001) | (0.012) | (144.279) | |||||||
| During COVID-19 | |||||||||||||
| OIL | 0.167* | 0.024 | 0.001 | 0.339*** | 0.097*** | 0.797*** | 0.188*** | 0.988 | −1606.069 | 3226.138 | 703.530*** | ||
| (0.095) | (0.048) | (0.003) | (0.101) | (0.032) | (0.025) | (0.058) | |||||||
| 0.300*** | −0.008 | 0.004 | 0.361*** | 0.106** | 0.807*** | 0.125* | 4.003*** | 0.976 | −1555.447 | 3126.894 | 171.194*** | ||
| (0.079) | (0.041) | (0.003) | (0.127) | (0.052) | (0.033) | (0.069) | (0.629) | ||||||
| BTC | 0.188 | −0.016 | 0.001 | 5.788** | 0.000 | 0.665*** | 0.187** | 0.759 | −1930.915 | 3875.830 | 30.297*** | ||
| (0.182) | (0.052) | (0.005) | (2.324) | (0.061) | (0.094) | (0.091) | |||||||
| 0.255** | −0.065** | 0.003 | 0.450 | 0.085** | 0.941*** | −0.056* | 3.004*** | 0.998 | −1850.745 | 3717.490 | 19.234*** | ||
| (0.128) | (0.032) | (0.004) | (0.342) | (0.036) | (0.019) | (0.034) | (0.389) | ||||||
| USDT | 0.002 | −0.242*** | 0.000** | 0.000*** | 0.318*** | 0.829*** | −0.296*** | 0.999 | 432.076 | −850.152 | 1394.280*** | ||
| (0.002) | (0.045) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.008) | (0.012) | (0.010) | |||||||
| 0.000 | −0.368*** | −0.000 | 0.000*** | 0.356*** | 0.687*** | −0.088 | 3.856*** | 0.999 | 742.415 | −1468.830 | 588.191*** | ||
| (0.001) | (0.038) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.069) | (0.048) | (0.104) | (0.373) | ||||||
| USD | 0.010 | 0.028 | 0.000 | 0.011** | 0.105*** | 0.828*** | −0.001 | 0.933 | −303.450 | 620.900 | 85.734*** | ||
| (0.015) | (0.042) | (0.000) | (0.005) | (0.034) | (0.049) | (0.042) | |||||||
| 0.010 | 0.027 | 0.000 | 0.011** | 0.106*** | 0.828*** | −0.002 | 78.507 | 0.933 | −303.421 | 622.842 | 62.051*** | ||
| (0.015) | (0.042) | (0.000) | (0.005) | (0.035) | (0.050) | (0.042) | (195.995) | ||||||
Note: LL and AIC refer to the maximized conditional log-likelihood and the corresponding Akaike information criterion, respectively. Meanwhile, LR is the likelihood ratio test statistic utilized to test the null hypothesis of homoscedasticity, i.e., H: , as in Hoang and Baur (2021). This statistic is asymptotically chi-square distributed with three degrees of freedom. Each number in parentheses is the standard error of the estimated parameter. The asterisks *, **, and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.