Table A.2.
Estimated parameters of the best-fitting bivariate copulas of the regular vines, whose margins are AR(1)-GJR-GARCH(1,1) models with a normal or Student’s innovation.
| Panel A1: OIL, BTC, and USDT with Normal Margins | ||||||
| Tree | Edge | Copula | LL | AIC | Kendall’s | |
| Before COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USDT | Frank | −0.517 | 1.453 | −0.907 | −0.057 | |
| USDT,BTC | 180°-rotated Gumbel | 1.074 | 7.183 | −12.366 | 0.069 | |
| OIL,BTCUSDT | Frank | 0.226 | 0.254 | 1.491 | 0.025 | |
| During COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,BTC | Gumbel | 1.081 | 3.436 | −4.872 | 0.075 | |
| BTC,USDT | 270°-rotated Gumbel | 1.015 | 11.692 | −21.385 | −0.015 | |
| OIL,USDTBTC | 180°-rotated Clayton | 0.032 | 0.573 | 0.855 | 0.016 | |
| Panel A2: OIL, BTC, and USDT with Student’s t Margins | ||||||
| Tree | Edge | Copula | LL | AIC | Kendall’s | |
| Before COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USDT | Frank | −0.441 | 1.446 | −0.892 | −0.049 | |
| USDT,BTC | 180°-rotated Gumbel | 1.075 | 5.988 | −9.977 | 0.070 | |
| OIL,BTCUSDT | Clayton | 0.037 | 0.460 | 1.081 | 0.018 | |
| During COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,BTC | Clayton | 0.114 | 5.043 | −8.085 | 0.054 | |
| BTC,USDT | 270°-rotated Gumbel | 1.021 | 4.578 | −7.155 | −0.021 | |
| OIL,USDTBTC | 180°-rotated Clayton | 0.037 | 0.475 | 1.050 | 0.018 | |
| Panel B1: OIL, BTC, and USD with Normal Margins | ||||||
| Tree | Edge | Copula | LL | AIC | Kendall’s | |
| Before COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USD | Frank | −0.087 | 0.049 | 1.901 | −0.010 | |
| USD,BTC | Frank | −0.393 | 0.869 | 0.261 | −0.044 | |
| OIL,BTCUSD | Clayton | 0.029 | 0.312 | 1.377 | 0.014 | |
| During COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USD | Frank | −0.994 | 5.105 | −8.209 | −0.109 | |
| USD,BTC | Frank | −0.956 | 4.768 | −7.535 | −0.105 | |
| OIL,BTCUSD | 180°-rotated Gumbel | 1.016 | 3.301 | −4.602 | 0.016 | |
| Panel B2: OIL, BTC, and USD with Student’s t Margins | ||||||
| Tree | Edge | Copula | LL | AIC | Kendall’s | |
| Before COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USD | Frank | −0.110 | 0.088 | 1.825 | −0.012 | |
| USD,BTC | Frank | −0.431 | 1.410 | −0.820 | −0.048 | |
| OIL,BTCUSD | Clayton | 0.040 | 0.532 | 0.936 | 0.019 | |
| During COVID-19 | ||||||
| OIL,USD | 90°-rotated Clayton | 0.178 | 7.125 | −12.249 | −0.082 | |
| USD,BTC | Frank | −0.938 | 5.912 | −9.824 | −0.103 | |
| OIL,BTCUSD | Clayton | 0.106 | 3.712 | −5.424 | 0.050 | |
Note: LL and AIC refer to the maximized log-likelihood and the corresponding Akaike information criterion, respectively.