Table 1.
Income class | Median weekly genomes (when sequencing at all) | Mean weekly genomes (when sequencing at all) | Probability of detecting a lineage at 5% prevalence under mean weekly sequencing regime | Maximum probable prevalence of an undetected lineage under mean weekly sequencing regime | Lines of inquiry available |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Low income countries (LICs) | 5 | 10.32 | 0.403 | 0.217 | Presence/absence of prevalent lineages |
Lower middle-income countries (LMCs) | 10 | 88.92 | 0.988 | 0.028 | + Quantification of lineage prevalence with some error; identification of preliminary patterns of geographic spread |
Upper middle-income countries (UMCs) | 17 | 147.30 | 0.999 | 0.017 | |
High-income countries (HICs) | 98 | 1717.01 | 1.000 | 0.001 | + Investigations of lineage dynamics, and transmissibility; high precision lineage tracking (molecular evolution and geographic spread) |
Countries at each income level have markedly different sequencing capacities, allowing for different degrees of epidemic resolution and lines of inquiry. Characteristics of each income class are shown in Supplementary Data 4.