Table 2. Comparison of observed start and end week of norovirus warning phase and predicted start and end week time interval of early detection of norovirus in 6 machine learning algorithms.
Year | Observed start week | Prediction (train) | Observed end week | Prediction (train) | ||||||||||
SVM | MLP | RF | GB | LSTM | GRU | SVM | MLP | RF | GB | LSTM | GRU | |||
2009 | 42 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 42~44 | 41~42 | 40~42 | 12 | 15 | 16~18 | 16~18 | 14 | 12~13 | 13~18 |
2010 | 40 | 42 | 42~43 | 42~43 | 42 | 40~41 | 39~41 | 17 | 18 | 18~20 | 18~20 | 18 | 16~17 | 13~18 |
2011 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 42~44 | 41~43 | 39~43 | 15 | 17 | 18~19 | 18~19 | 17~19 | 15~16 | 14~17 |
2012 | 40 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 40~41 | 39~41 | 16 | 17 | 17~19 | 17~19 | 16~17 | 13~17 | 13~17 |
2013 | 40 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 40~41 | 40~41 | 10 | 13 | 16~17 | 16~17 | 12 | 10~11 | 10~15 |
2014 | 40 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 42~43 | 40~41 | 39~41 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 24 | 23~24 | 18~23 |
2015 | 40 | 43 | 41~43 | 41~43 | 42 | 39~41 | 40~41 | 13 | 14 | 17~18 | 17~18 | 14~15 | 13 | 13~23 |
2016 | 40 | 42 | 42~43 | 42~44 | 42 | 40~41 | 40~42 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 14~23 |
year | observed start week | prediction (test) | observed end week | prediction (test) | ||||||||||
SVM | MLP | RF | GB | LSTM | GRU | SVM | MLP | RF | GB | LSTM | GRU | |||
2017 | 43 | 41 | 41~42 | 41~42 | 41 | 40~41 | 40~44 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26~27 | 15~27 |
2018 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 40~44 | 40~44 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 21~22 | 13~22 |