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. 2023 Jan;62(1):233–258. doi: 10.1177/00472875211059240

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© The Author(s) 2022

This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic or until permissions are revoked in writing. Upon expiration of these permissions, PMC is granted a perpetual license to make this article available via PMC and Europe PMC, consistent with existing copyright protections.

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Figure 4. — Time series and counterfactual COVID-free forecasts for 2020–2021 for total international arrivals to Australia, and the same data disaggregated by state and by purpose of travel. The shaded regions correspond to 95% prediction intervals.