Skip to main content
. 2023 Jan;62(1):233–258. doi: 10.1177/00472875211059240

Table 6.

Recovery Scenarios for International Arrivals.

Scenario Mean Median 80% 95%
Pessimistic 2025 Q1 2025 Q1 [2023 Q1, 2027 Q3] [2022 Q1, 2028 Q4]
Most likely 2023 Q4 2023 Q4 [2022 Q2, 2025 Q2] [2021 Q3, 2026 Q3]
Optimistic 2022 Q4 2022 Q3 [2021 Q3, 2024 Q1] [2020 Q4, 2025 Q2]
Mixture (10,80,10) 2023 Q4 2023 Q4 [2022 Q2, 2025 Q2] [2021 Q3, 2026 Q2]