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. 2023 Jan;62(1):233–258. doi: 10.1177/00472875211059240

Table 9.

Recovery Scenarios for Domestic Visitor Nights.

Scenario Mean Median 80% 95%
Pessimistic 2023 Q3 2023 Q2 [2021 Q4, 2025 Q2] [2021 Q1, 2026 Q2]
Most likely 2022 Q3 2022 Q3 [2021 Q2, 2023 Q4] [2020 Q3, 2024 Q4]
Optimistic 2021 Q4 2021 Q4 [2020 Q4, 2023 Q1] [2020 Q2, 2024 Q1]
Mixture (10,80,10) 2022 Q3 2022 Q3 [2021 Q2, 2023 Q4] [2020 Q4, 2024 Q4]