Table 3.
Spatial regression modelling of mobility reduction, by date.
| 24 March 2020 |
31 March 2020 |
7 April 2020 |
14 April 2020 |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLM |
SEM |
SLM |
SEM |
SLM |
SEM |
SLM |
SEM |
|
| Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | Coeff (SE) | |
| (Intercept) | −0.009 (0.037) | 0 (0.041) |
−0.008 (0.038) | 0 (0.04) |
−0.013 (0.037) | 0.002 (0.053) |
−0.012 (0.035) | −0.001 (0.045) |
| Socio-economic status | ||||||||
| Share of households in top household income quintile at national level | 0.666*** (0.083) | 0.795*** (0.073) | 0.7*** (0.086) |
0.806*** (0.073) | 0.612*** (0.084) | 0.794*** (0.082) | 0.636*** (0.08) | 0.764*** (0.074) |
| Share of non-English speakers | 0.287*** (0.073) | 0.365*** (0.071) | 0.336*** (0.076) | 0.399*** (0.072) | 0.248*** (0.074) | 0.374*** (0.078) | 0.232*** (0.069) | 0.337*** (0.071) |
| Share of social grade C1 (lower middle class) | 0.428*** (0.062) | 0.492*** (0.062) | 0.475*** (0.065) | 0.535*** (0.062) | 0.394*** (0.063) | 0.443*** (0.068) | 0.429*** (0.06) | 0.486*** (0.062) |
| Accessibility | ||||||||
| Resident population density (1,000 inhabitants per km2) | 0.284*** (0.08) | 0.353*** (0.081) | 0.284*** (0.082) | 0.341*** (0.082) | 0.267*** (0.081) | 0.31*** (0.088) | 0.306*** (0.076) | 0.363*** (0.081) |
| Activity commitments | ||||||||
| Share of self-employed workers | −0.186*** (0.06) | −0.196*** (0.063) | −0.229*** (0.062) | −0.245*** (0.064) | −0.24*** (0.061) | −0.238*** (0.069) | −0.2*** (0.057) | −0.2*** (0.063) |
| Population health | ||||||||
| Share of population in poor health | 0.397*** (0.075) | 0.465*** (0.074) | 0.435*** (0.078) | 0.492*** (0.075) | 0.335*** (0.076) | 0.446*** (0.082) | 0.356*** (0.072) | 0.441*** (0.075) |
| Spatial autoregressive parameters | ||||||||
| Spatial lag coefficient (ρ) | 0.22** (0.076) | – | 0.178** (0.078) | – | 0.31*** (0.073) | – | 0.272*** (0.072) | – |
| Spatial error coefficient (λ) |
– |
0.077 (0.106) |
– |
0.039 (0.109) |
– |
0.28*** (0.094) |
– |
0.206* (0.099) |
| Model fit metrics | ||||||||
| Log-likelihood | −143.0 | −145.7 | −148.7 | −150.8 | −146.7 | −150.6 | −134.3 | −138.7 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.738 | 0.729 | 0.721 | 0.714 | 0.726 | 0.715 | 0.76 | 0.749 |
| 307.9 | 317.8 | 323.5 | 296.6 | |||||
| 303 | 309.5 | 315.4 | 319.7 | 311.5 | 319.3 | 286.6 | 295.3 | |
| 4.9 | −2.4 | 2.4 | −2.1 | 12 | 4.2 | 10 | 1.3 | |
Note: *p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01.