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. 2022 Nov 21;187:122188. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122188

Table 1.

Parameters' values of the improved SEIR model.

Parameter Definitions Value
i Isolation ratio 1.8887 × 10−7
β' Transmission probability 2.1011 × 10−8
c Contact rate 2
ρ Effective contact coefficient 0.8
α' The proportion conversion ratio of exposed people to infectious people 1/7
r The rate of isolation release 1/14
b The proportion of people with symptoms 0.86834
μI The rate at which infectious people with symptoms turn into isolated infectious people 0.13266
μi The rate at which isolated exposed people turn into isolated infectious people 0.1259
ωa The rate at which asymptomatic infected people convert to recovered people 0.13978
ωs The rate at which symptomatic infected people convert to recovered people 0.33029
ωh The rate at which inpatients convert to recovered people 0.46634
d Death rate 1.7826 × 10−5
τ1 The infection intensity in the exposed people compared to symptomatic infected people 1
τ2 The infection intensity in the asymptomatic infected people compared to symptomatic infected people 1



Initial values Definitions Value
S(0) Initially unisolated susceptible individuals 11,081,000
E(0) Initially unisolated exposed individuals 105.1
Ia(0) Initially asymptomatic infected individuals 53.839
Is(0) Initially symptomatic infected individuals 27.679
R(0) Initially recovered individuals 2
Si(0) Initially isolated susceptible individuals 739
Ei(0) Initially isolated exposed individuals 1.1642
H(0) Initially hospitalized patients 1