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. 2022 Nov 17;31:100646. doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100646

Table 3.

Predicted coverage by 2025 and 2030, and the probability of reaching 80% target by 2030.

Predicted coverage in year (95% credible interval)
Probability of reaching 80% target by 2030
2025 2030
Prevention indicators
ANC4 96.4 (94.2–98.0) 98.2 (96.7–99.1) 100.0
Postnatal care of mother 76.5 (66.9–84.7) 80.1 (69.6–88.5) 54.7
BCG immunization 99.6 (98.5–100.0) 99.7 (98.7–100.0) 100.0
DPT3 immunization 95.0 (87.3–98.6) 95.6 (85.8–99.3) 99.0
Polio3 immunization 96.0 (88.8–99.0) 96.6 (88.5–99.4) 99.2
Measles immunization 97.9 (91.0–99.8) 98.1 (89.9–99.9) 99.4
HB3 immunization 98.1 (93.0–99.7) 98.7 (94.0–99.9) 99.8
Non-use of tobacco 77.9 (74.5–81.3) 78.9 (74.7–82.9) 21.5
Non-overweight 36.3 (29.9–43.5) 30.0 (23.1–38.2) 0.0
Non-underweight 96.4 (94.8–97.5) 96.8 (95.0–98.0) 100.0
Improved water 83.7 (74.7–90.0) 87.5 (78.3–93.2) 95.2
Adequate sanitation 74.9 (62.0–85.2) 81.7 (68.2–90.9) 66.2
Treatment indicators
Institutional delivery 99.6 (99.2–99.8) 99.8 (99.7–99.9) 100.0
Skilled birth attendance 98.6 (96.5–99.6) 99.1 (97.3–99.8) 100.0
Normal blood pressure 52.5 (42.9–61.5) 45.5 (34.4–56.6) 0.0
Hypertension awareness 60.5 (43.8–75.1) 65.4 (46.5–81.4) 3.7
Hypertension treatment 58.0 (42.2–72.0) 65.2 (46.5–79.8) 2.5
Hypertension control 23.8 (12.8–38.1) 29.2 (14.1–48.6) 0.0
Tuberculosis treatment 91.6 (85.4–95.7) 93.6 (87.4–97.3) 99.9
Outpatient care seeking when needed 85.0 (72.3–93.2) 87.7 (73.9–95.6) 92.4
Outpatient care seeking when needed (0–4) 86.4 (80.0–91.7) 87.3 (79.3–93.2) 96.7
Inpatient care seeking when needed 82.3 (71.8–89.6) 83.6 (71.2–91.6) 80.7
Inpatient care seeking when needed (0–4) 94.1 (89.2–97.1) 94.7 (89.1–97.9) 100.0
Travel time to the nearest medical facility 82.0 (71.8–90.1) 83.9 (71.9–92.4) 80.9

Notes: Predicted coverage of prevention and treatment indicators and the probability of reaching 80% coverage target were estimated from Bayesian linear regression. ANC4 = At least four antenatal care visits; BCG = Bacillus Calmette - Guerin vaccine; DPT3 = three doses of diphtheria, pertussis, and tetanus vaccine; Polio3 = three doses of polio vaccine; HB3 = three doses of Hepatitis B vaccine. 95% credible intervals are reported in parentheses.