Table 2.

Estimated effects of Covid-SMART community testing on covid-19 related hospital admissions from synthetic control analysis, under alternative assumptions over the effects of a lower level of restrictions in Liverpool city, December 2020

Model	Intervention period	Assumed reduction in admissions from tier 3 v 2 restrictions (%)	Difference in hospital admissions (Liverpool v control)		P value
			% (95% CI)	Absolute (95% CI)
1	6 Nov to 3 Dec 2020	Nil	−43 (−57 to −29)	−146 (−192 to −96)	<0.001
2	6 Nov 2020 to 2 Jan 2021	Nil	−16 (−27 to 0)	−133 (−239 to −3)	0.07
3	6 Nov 2020 to 2 Jan 2021	17 (central estimate)	−25 (−35 to −11)	−239 (−333 to −104)	<0.001

CI=confidence interval.