Table 2.
Maximum likelihood estimates for dates (yyyy-mm-dd) when Delta exceeded certain relative frequencies and the average relative reproduction numbers w.r.t. Alpha on those dates.
| Relative Frequency |
Date When Delta Exceeded the Relative Frequency (95% CI) |
Average Relative Reproduction Number w.r.t. Alpha (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 2021-04-21 (2021-04-16, 2021-04-24) | 1.049 (1.045, 1.053) |
| 0.10 | 2021-04-26 (2021-04-23, 2021-04-29) | 1.090 (1.084, 1.095) |
| 0.15 | 2021-04-30 (2021-04-27, 2021-05-02) | 1.141 (1.134, 1.148) |
| 0.20 | 2021-05-03 (2021-04-30, 2021-05-05) | 1.193 (1.185, 1.203) |
| 0.25 | 2021-05-05 (2021-05-03, 2021-05-07) | 1.235 (1.223, 1.246) |
| 0.30 | 2021-05-07 (2021-05-05, 2021-05-09) | 1.281 (1.267, 1.295) |
| 0.35 | 2021-05-09 (2021-05-07, 2021-05-10) | 1.332 (1.314, 1.349) |
| 0.40 | 2021-05-10 (2021-05-08, 2021-05-12) | 1.358 (1.339, 1.377) |
| 0.45 | 2021-05-12 (2021-05-10, 2021-05-14) | 1.412 (1.389, 1.434) |
| 0.50 | 2021-05-14 (2021-05-12, 2021-05-15) | 1.467 (1.440, 1.493) |
| 0.55 | 2021-05-15 (2021-05-13, 2021-05-17) | 1.493 (1.465, 1.521) |
| 0.60 | 2021-05-17 (2021-05-15, 2021-05-19) | 1.545 (1.513, 1.577) |
| 0.65 | 2021-05-19 (2021-05-17, 2021-05-21) | 1.594 (1.559, 1.628) |
| 0.70 | 2021-05-20 (2021-05-18, 2021-05-23) | 1.617 (1.580, 1.652) |
| 0.75 | 2021-05-23 (2021-05-20, 2021-05-25) | 1.677 (1.638, 1.716) |
| 0.80 | 2021-05-25 (2021-05-23, 2021-05-28) | 1.712 (1.671, 1.751) |
| 0.85 | 2021-05-28 (2021-05-25, 2021-05-31) | 1.754 (1.713, 1.794) |
| 0.90 | 2021-06-01 (2021-05-29, 2021-06-05) | 1.796 (1.754, 1.837) |
| 0.95 | 2021-06-07 (2021-06-03, 2021-06-13) | 1.835 (1.794, 1.875) |