Table 5.

Errors of predicted dates exceeding target relative frequencies.

Target Relative Frequency	Final Estimate of Date	Number of Predictions †	Absolute Errors of Predicted Dates
			Median	Maximum
0.50	14 May 2021	7	1	2
0.70	20 May 2021	11	1	2
0.90	1 June 2021	15	1	3

^† The two earliest predictions, made when Delta was less than 0.15, were excluded.