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. 2022 Nov 11;32(11):1337–1345. doi: 10.1089/thy.2022.0325

Table 1.

Six Most Common Tumor Volume Kinetic Growth Patterns Observed in Patients on Active Surveillance for Papillary Thyroid Cancer or Suspicious for Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Tumor volume kinetic growth pattern Description Definition Implications for clinical management
I Stable Tumor volume measurements on observation remain stable (up to ±72% change in tumor volume from baseline) Continue active surveillance
II Early increase in tumor volume Steady exponential growth from time of diagnosis, with a TVDT of <5 years Consider (1) transition to a therapeutic intervention or (2) continue observation depending on tumor size, location, rate of change, and patient preference
III Later increase in tumor volume Steady exponential growth from the time of diagnosis, with a TVDT of ≥5 years Consider (1) transition to a therapeutic intervention or (2) continue observation depending on tumor size, location, rate of change, and patient preference
IV Early increase in tumor volume followed by stability Steady exponential growth from the time of diagnosis followed by transition to stability (tumor volume remains up to ±72% of size after exponential growth window) Continue active surveillance
V Stability followed by increase in tumor volume Initial stability (tumor volume remains up to ±72% of baseline) with a subsequent transition to steady exponential growth Transition to therapeutic intervention
VI Decrease in tumor volume Tumor volume decreases >72% from baseline Continue active surveillance

TVDT, tumor volume doubling time.