Table 3.
Odds ratios (95% CIs) of univariable associations between potential predictors and long COVID 3 months after a PCR test, overall and stratified by SARS-CoV-2 status
Potential predictor | Total population (N=7139) | SARS-CoV-2 negative (N=3893) | SARS-CoV-2 positive (N=3246) | Pinteractiona | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds ratio (95% CIs) | p value | Odds ratio (95% CIs) | p value | Odds ratio (95% CIs) | p value | ||
SARS-CoV-2 status | |||||||
Negative | Ref | <0.001 | |||||
Positive | 1.48 (1.33, 1.66) | N/A | N/A | N/A | |||
Sex | |||||||
Male | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.5858 |
Female | 2.02 (1.78, 2.30) | 2.11 (1.75, 2.54) | 1.96 (1.65, 2.34) | ||||
Age (years)b | |||||||
11–13 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.2533 |
14–15 | 1.54 (1.32, 1.80) | 1.71 (1.37, 2.13) | 1.36 (1.09, 1.70) | ||||
16–17 | 1.73 (1.50, 1.99) | 1.73 (1.42, 2.12) | 1.70 (1.40, 2.07) | ||||
Index of Multiple Deprivation | |||||||
Quintile 1 (most deprived) | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | 0.034 | Ref | 0.004 | 0.149 |
Quintile 2 | 0.99 (0.83, 1.17) | 0.82 (0.64, 1.05) | 1.18 (0.93, 1.49) | ||||
Quintile 3 | 0.88 (0.74, 1.05) | 0.79 (0.62, 1.02) | 1.00 (0.78, 1.28) | ||||
Quintile 4 | 0.79 (0.66, 0.94) | 0.69 (0.53, 0.89) | 0.90 (0.70, 1.16) | ||||
Quintile 5 (least deprived) | 0.72 (0.60, 0.86) | 0.72 (0.56, 0.93) | 0.72 (0.56, 0.93) | ||||
Ethnicity | |||||||
White | Ref | 0.055 | Ref | 0.146 | Ref | 0.131 | 0.417 |
Asian/Asian British | 0.93 (0.79, 1.09) | 0.93 (0.73, 1.18) | 0.90 (0.72, 1.13) | ||||
Black/African/Caribbean | 1.11 (0.83, 1.48) | 1.36 (0.92, 2.01) | 0.89 (0.57, 1.38) | ||||
Mixed | 1.38 (1.09, 1.76) | 1.43 (1.03, 2.00) | 1.36 (0.95, 1.93) | ||||
Others | 0.70 (0.43, 1.16) | 1.00 (0.50, 2.00) | 0.49 (0.24, 1.00) | ||||
Preferred not to say | 0.96 (0.49, 1.87) | 0.59 (0.18, 1.97) | 1.23 (0.54, 2.83) | ||||
Self-rated physical health | |||||||
Very good | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Good | 2.06 (1.77, 2.39) | 2.49 (1.98, 3.13) | 1.80 (1.47, 2.20) | ||||
Okay | 3.57 (3.04, 4.20) | 4.51 (3.54, 5.76) | 3.00 (2.40, 3.74) | ||||
Poor/very poor | 7.60 (5.41, 10.68) | 14.91 (9.32, 23.85) | 3.71 (2.23, 6.19) | ||||
Self-rated mental health | |||||||
Very good | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.015 |
Good | 2.12 (1.75, 2.56) | 2.55 (1.87, 3.81) | 1.92 (1.50, 2.46) | ||||
Okay | 3.91 (3.23, 4.73) | 5.50 (4.06, 7.46) | 3.06 (2.39, 3.93) | ||||
Poor/very poor | 12.72 (10.17, 15,91) | 17.46 (12.43, 24.53) | 10.54 (7.72, 14.40) | ||||
Lonelinessc | |||||||
Never | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.002 |
Hardly ever | 1.75 (1.45, 2.11) | 2.16 (1.59, 2.93) | 1.54 (1.21, 1.96) | ||||
Occasionally | 3.91 (3.23, 4.73) | 5.28 (3.91, 7.14) | 3.30 (2.56, 4.26) | ||||
Some of the time | 4.81 (3.98, 5.80) | 6.86 (5.10, 9.22) | 3.82 (2.97, 4.91) | ||||
Often/always | 7.98 (6.34, 10.04) | 13.41 (9.56, 18.80) | 5.23 (3.75, 7.30) | ||||
Number of symptoms at testingb | |||||||
0 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.148 |
1–4 | 0.43 (0.32, 0.57) | 0.41 (0.24, 0.70) | 0.37 (0.26, 0.52) | ||||
5+ | 1.88 (1.62, 2.19) | 2.20 (1.55, 3.12) | 1.49 (1.24, 1.79) | ||||
Mobilityd | |||||||
No problems | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.024 |
Some/a lot of problems | 6.81 (5.42, 8.55) | 8.82 (6.53, 11.91) | 5.17 (3.65, 7.34) | ||||
Looking after selfd | |||||||
No problems | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.205 |
Some/a lot of problems | 8.89 (6.92, 11.40) | 10.58 (7.65, 14.62) | 7.61 (5.13, 11.28) | ||||
Doing usual activitiesd | |||||||
No problems | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | < 0.001 |
Some/a lot of problems | 6.52 (5.57, 7.64) | 10.31 (8.26, 12.88) | 4.04 (3.22, 5.08) | ||||
Having paind | |||||||
No problems | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Some/a lot of problems | 9.84 (8.51, 11.38) | 14.66 (11.94, 18.00) | 6.65 (5.40, 8.18) | ||||
Feeling worried/sadd | |||||||
No problems | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | Ref | <0.001 | 0.006 |
A bit | 4.05 (3.56, 4.60) | 5.11 (4.21, 6.21) | 3.35 (2.81, 3.99) | ||||
Very worried/sad | 15.12 (12.20, 18.75) | 17.54 (13.17, 23.36) | 15.38 (10.90, 21.70) |
aP value for interaction between potential predictor and SARS-CoV-2 status (derived in total population)
bWe show (for simplicity) univariable associations for age and number of symptoms modelled as categorical variables. In the final multivariable model, they have been modelled with linear and quadratic terms or a fractional polynomial; see the “Methods” section for details
cFrom the UCLA Loneliness scale. dFrom the EQ-5D-Y scale