Table 4.
Hypothetical examples of predicted risk of long COVID 3 months after a PCR test, using our prediction model
| Characteristic | Examples | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
| SARS-CoV-2 status | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative | Positive | Negative |
| Sex | Female | Female | Male | Male | Female | Female |
| Age (years) | 17 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| Ethnicity | White | White | White | White | White | White |
| Self-rated physical health | Okay | Okay | Okay | Okay | Good | Good |
| Self-rated mental health | Okay | Okay | Okay | Okay | Good | Good |
| Loneliness | Some of the time | Some of the time | Some of the time | Some of the time | Hardly ever | Hardly ever |
| Number of symptoms at time of testing | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Problems looking after myself | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems |
| Problems doing usual activities | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems |
| Having pain | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems | No problems |
| Feeling worried/sad | A bit worried | A bit worried | A bit worried | A bit worried | No problems | No problems |
| Predicted risk of long COVID | 0.342 | 0.217 | 0.241 | 0.189 | 0.076 | 0.030 |
For details on how the predicted risk was calculated, see the supplementary section for the formula (Box 1) and calculator