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. 2022 Nov 30:1–28. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1007/s10614-022-10337-4

Table 3.

The predictive means, SD’s and 95% credibility intervals for volatilities at times T=1001,..,1005 based on 100 replicates

h1000+1 h1000+2 h1000+3 h1000+4 h1000+5
True 0.2304 0.1984 0.1898 0.1872 0.1823
Mean 0.2402 0.2051 0.1948 0.1915 0.1905
(0.2254,0.2550) (0.1953,0.2149) (0.1851,0.2046) (0.1817,0.2014) (0.1805,0.2005)
SD 0.0813 0.0534 0.0530 0.0538 0.0542