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. 2022 Nov 30:1–28. Online ahead of print. doi: 10.1007/s10614-022-10337-4

Table 6.

The predictive means, SD’s and 95% credibility intervals for volatilities hT at times T=1408,,1412 of SP 500 using HMC method

h1407+1 h1407+2 h1407+3 h1407+4 h1407+5
Mean 1.1798 1.1027 1.0324 0.9683 0.9101
(1.1795,1.1801) (1.1019,1.1035) (1.0313,1.0335) (0.9669,0.9697) (0.9086,0.9117)
SD 0.0014 0.0041 0.0058 0.0069 0.0078