Table 2.
Prognostic factor | No of patients (studies) | OR (95% CI) | Absolute effect estimates | GRADE: certainty of the evidence | |
Risk without prognostic factor | Risk with prognostic factor | ||||
Mortality | |||||
Demographic | |||||
Male versus female | 80 (13) | 0.95 (0.36 to 2.52) | 250 per 1000 | 241 per 1000 | Very low |
−9 (−143 to 207) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
<18 vs 18–64 years | 694 (5) | 0.54 (0.15 to 1.94) | 234 per 1000 | 142 per 1000 | Very low |
−92 (−190 to 138) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision, and serious inconsistency | ||||
≥65 vs <18 years | 136 (2) | 10.66 (1.28 to 88.57)* | 50 per 1000 | 359 per 1000 | Very low |
309 (13 to 773) | Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision | ||||
≥65 vs 18−64 years | 396 (2) | 2.37 (1.47 to 3.84)* | 193 per 1000 | 362 per 1000 | Low |
169 (67 to 286) | Due to very serious risk of bias | ||||
Medical history | |||||
Immunocompromised versus not Immunocompromised | 33 (4) | 1.65 (0.33 to 8.26) | 438 per 1000 | 563 per 1000 | Very low |
125 (−233 to 428) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Early disease | |||||
Acute renal failure versus no acute renal failure | 91 (4) | 2.50 (0.97 to 6.42) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
140 (−60 to 330) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis | 840 (10) | 0.81 (0.51 to 1.29) | 347 per 1000 | 301 per 1000 | Very low |
−46 (−134 to 60) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) | 365 (9) | 0.37 (0.17 to 0.80)* | 231 per 1000 | 100 per 1000 | Very low |
−131 (−182 to −37) | Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision | ||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (subset of STSS patients treated with clindamycin) | 188 (6) | 0.34 (0.15 to 0.75)* | 300 per 1000 | 127 per 1000 | Low |
−173 (−240 to −57) | Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Any antibiotic versus no antibiotic | 19 (3) | 0.48 (0.05 to 4.76) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
−120 (−490 to 260) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Clindamycin versus no clindamycin antibiotic | 144 (4) | 0.14 (0.06 to 0.37)* | 800 per 1000 | 359 per 1000 | Low |
−441 (−606 to −203) | Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis | 42 (4) | 1.94 (0.22 to 16.99) | 107 per 1000 | 189 per 1000 | Very low |
82 (−81 to 564) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
NSAIDs vs no NSAIDs | 50 (4) | 4.14 (1.13 to 15.14)* | 100 per 1000 | 315 per 1000 | Very low |
215 (12 to 527) | Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision | ||||
ICU admission | |||||
Demographic | |||||
Male vs female | 19 (3) | 2.87 (0.29 to 28.27) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
150 (−160 to 450) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Early disease | |||||
Necrotising fasciitis vs no necrotising fasciitis | 28 (3) | 0.74 (0.12 to 4.48) | 900 per 1000 | 869 per 1000 | Very low |
−31 (−381 to 76) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) | 156 (3) | 1.09 (0.43 to 2.77) | 833 per 1000 | 845 per 1000 | Very low |
12 (−151 to 100) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Any antibiotic versus no antibiotic | 14 (2) | 4.60 (0.29 to 72.89) | 500 per 1000 | 821 per 1000 | Very low |
321 (−275 to 486) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis | 13 (2) | 3.25 (0.21 to 50.35) | 875 per 1000 | 958 per 1000 | Very low |
83 (−280 to 122) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
NSAIDs versus no NSAIDs | 15 (2) | 0.86 (0.06 to 12.48) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
−10 (−430 to 400) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Clinical cure or improvement | |||||
Demographic | |||||
Male versus female | 23 (4) | 3.33 (0.47 to 23.59) | 875 per 1000 | 959 per 1000 | Very low |
84 (−108 to 119) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Early disease | |||||
Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis | 24 (2) | 0.34 (0.02 to 5.20) | 950 per 1000 | 866 per 1000 | Very low |
−84 (−675 to 40) | Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision | ||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (in all STSS patients) | 23 (2) | 0.27 (0.02 to 3.76) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
−100 (−350 to 140) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis | 26 (3) | 1.43 (0.15 to 14.08) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
50 (−240 to 340) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Need for mechanical ventilation | |||||
Demographic | |||||
Male versus female | 21 (3) | 2.09 (0.32 to 13.74) | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
120 (−200 to 440) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Early disease | |||||
Acute renal failure versus no acute renal failure | 20 (2) | 1.14 (0.17 to 7.82) | 750 per 1000 | 774 per 1000 | Very low |
24 (−412 to 209) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis | 31 (3) | 3.75 (0.47 to 29.81) | 700 per 1000 | 897 per 1000 | Very low |
197 (−177 to 286) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (in all STSS patients) | 157 (3) | 2.22 (0.78 to 6.32) | 333 per 1000 | 526 per 1000 | Very low |
193 (−53 to 426) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Haemodialysis vs no haemodialysis | 26 (3) | 2.05 (0.39 to 10.70) | 500 per 1000 | 672 per 1000 | Very low |
172 (−219 to 415) | Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Duration of hospitalisation | |||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) | 201 (3) | NA | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Low |
On average, 5.51 fewer days (17.64 fewer to 6.62 more) | Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision | ||||
Duration of ICU stay | |||||
Treatment | |||||
IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) | 131 (2) | NA | NA per 1000 | NA per 1000 | Very low |
On average, 3.80 more days (3.62 fewer to 11.23 more) | Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision |
*Statistical evidence of an association.
GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation; ICU, intensive care unit; NA, not available; NSAIDs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; STSS, streptococcal toxic shock syndrome.