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. 2022 Dec 1;12(12):e063023. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063023

Table 2.

Summary of findings for prognostic factor—outcome meta-analyses

Prognostic factor No of patients (studies) OR (95% CI) Absolute effect estimates GRADE: certainty of the evidence
Risk without prognostic factor Risk with prognostic factor
Mortality
 Demographic
  Male versus female 80 (13) 0.95 (0.36 to 2.52) 250 per 1000 241 per 1000 Very low
−9 (−143 to 207) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  <18 vs 18–64 years 694 (5) 0.54 (0.15 to 1.94) 234 per 1000 142 per 1000 Very low
−92 (−190 to 138) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision, and serious inconsistency
  ≥65 vs <18 years 136 (2) 10.66 (1.28 to 88.57)* 50 per 1000 359 per 1000 Very low
309 (13 to 773) Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision
  ≥65 vs 18−64 years 396 (2) 2.37 (1.47 to 3.84)* 193 per 1000 362 per 1000 Low
169 (67 to 286) Due to very serious risk of bias
 Medical history
  Immunocompromised versus not Immunocompromised 33 (4) 1.65 (0.33 to 8.26) 438 per 1000 563 per 1000 Very low
125 (−233 to 428) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Early disease
  Acute renal failure versus no acute renal failure 91 (4) 2.50 (0.97 to 6.42) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
140 (−60 to 330) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis 840 (10) 0.81 (0.51 to 1.29) 347 per 1000 301 per 1000 Very low
−46 (−134 to 60) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) 365 (9) 0.37 (0.17 to 0.80)* 231 per 1000 100 per 1000 Very low
−131 (−182 to −37) Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision
  IVIG versus no IVIG (subset of STSS patients treated with clindamycin) 188 (6) 0.34 (0.15 to 0.75)* 300 per 1000 127 per 1000 Low
−173 (−240 to −57) Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Any antibiotic versus no antibiotic 19 (3) 0.48 (0.05 to 4.76) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
−120 (−490 to 260) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Clindamycin versus no clindamycin antibiotic 144 (4) 0.14 (0.06 to 0.37)* 800 per 1000 359 per 1000 Low
−441 (−606 to −203) Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis 42 (4) 1.94 (0.22 to 16.99) 107 per 1000 189 per 1000 Very low
82 (−81 to 564) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  NSAIDs vs no NSAIDs 50 (4) 4.14 (1.13 to 15.14)* 100 per 1000 315 per 1000 Very low
215 (12 to 527) Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision
ICU admission
 Demographic
  Male vs female 19 (3) 2.87 (0.29 to 28.27) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
150 (−160 to 450) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Early disease
  Necrotising fasciitis vs no necrotising fasciitis 28 (3) 0.74 (0.12 to 4.48) 900 per 1000 869 per 1000 Very low
−31 (−381 to 76) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) 156 (3) 1.09 (0.43 to 2.77) 833 per 1000 845 per 1000 Very low
12 (−151 to 100) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Any antibiotic versus no antibiotic 14 (2) 4.60 (0.29 to 72.89) 500 per 1000 821 per 1000 Very low
321 (−275 to 486) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis 13 (2) 3.25 (0.21 to 50.35) 875 per 1000 958 per 1000 Very low
83 (−280 to 122) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  NSAIDs versus no NSAIDs 15 (2) 0.86 (0.06 to 12.48) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
−10 (−430 to 400) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
Clinical cure or improvement
 Demographic
  Male versus female 23 (4) 3.33 (0.47 to 23.59) 875 per 1000 959 per 1000 Very low
84 (−108 to 119) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Early disease
  Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis 24 (2) 0.34 (0.02 to 5.20) 950 per 1000 866 per 1000 Very low
−84 (−675 to 40) Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (in all STSS patients) 23 (2) 0.27 (0.02 to 3.76) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
−100 (−350 to 140) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Haemodialysis versus no haemodialysis 26 (3) 1.43 (0.15 to 14.08) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
50 (−240 to 340) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
Need for mechanical ventilation
 Demographic
  Male versus female 21 (3) 2.09 (0.32 to 13.74) NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
120 (−200 to 440) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Early disease
  Acute renal failure versus no acute renal failure 20 (2) 1.14 (0.17 to 7.82) 750 per 1000 774 per 1000 Very low
24 (−412 to 209) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Necrotising fasciitis versus no necrotising fasciitis 31 (3) 3.75 (0.47 to 29.81) 700 per 1000 897 per 1000 Very low
197 (−177 to 286) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (in all STSS patients) 157 (3) 2.22 (0.78 to 6.32) 333 per 1000 526 per 1000 Very low
193 (−53 to 426) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
  Haemodialysis vs no haemodialysis 26 (3) 2.05 (0.39 to 10.70) 500 per 1000 672 per 1000 Very low
172 (−219 to 415) Due to very serious risk of bias and imprecision
Duration of hospitalisation
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) 201 (3) NA NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Low
On average, 5.51 fewer days (17.64 fewer to 6.62 more) Due to serious risk of bias and imprecision
 Duration of ICU stay
 Treatment
  IVIG versus no IVIG (all STSS patients) 131 (2) NA NA per 1000 NA per 1000 Very low
On average, 3.80 more days (3.62 fewer to 11.23 more) Due to very serious risk of bias and serious imprecision

*Statistical evidence of an association.

GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation; ICU, intensive care unit; NA, not available; NSAIDs, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs; STSS, streptococcal toxic shock syndrome.