Table 6.

Cumulative changes of life expectancy and age-adjusted death rates over different horizons following the COVID-19 unemployment shock.

	(1) Percentage change in life expectancy
	5 years	10 years	15 years	20 years
Overall population	$\underset{[-0.95,0.01]}{-0.42}$	$\underset{[-1.97,0.00]}{-0.80}$	$\underset{[-2.27,0.00]}{-0.83}$	$\underset{[-2.29,0.00]}{-0.83}$
African-American	$\underset{[-1.13,-0.16]}{-0.58}$	$\underset{[-2.64,-0.32]}{-1.20}$	$\underset{[-3.16,-0.25]}{-1.16}$	$\underset{[-3.17,-0.28]}{-1.09}$
African-American (M)	$\underset{[-1.46,-0.33]}{-0.84}$	$\underset{[-3.06,-0.58]}{-1.57}$	$\underset{[-3.64,-0.52]}{-1.53}$	$\underset{[-3.70,-0.54]}{-1.47}$
African-American (W)	$\underset{[-1.21,-0.14]}{-0.62}$	$\underset{[-2.97,-0.27]}{-1.34}$	$\underset{[-3.65,-0.16]}{-1.32}$	$\underset{[-3.66,-0.15]}{-1.21}$
White	$\underset{[-0.94,0.10]}{-0.37}$	$\underset{[-2.01,0.15]}{-0.72}$	$\underset{[-2.34,0.16]}{-0.75}$	$\underset{[-2.41,0.17]}{-0.76}$
White (M)	$\underset{[-0.93,0.07]}{-0.40}$	$\underset{[-2.14,0.09]}{-0.85}$	$\underset{[-2.66,0.11]}{-0.94}$	$\underset{[-2.85,0.12]}{-0.94}$
White (W)	$\underset{[-1.28,0.16]}{-0.52}$	$\underset{[-2.74,0.28]}{-0.99}$	$\underset{[-3.16,0.34]}{-1.01}$	$\underset{[-3.15,0.35]}{-1.00}$
	(2) Percentage change in the age-adjusted death rate
	5 years	10 years	15 years	20 years
Overall population	$\underset{[0.41,3.55]}{1.83}$	$\underset{[0.61,5.67]}{2.56}$	$\underset{[0.57,5.70]}{2.43}$	$\underset{[0.56,5.52]}{2.42}$
African-American	$\underset{[1.34,4.81]}{2.90}$	$\underset{[1.81,8.88]}{4.38}$	$\underset{[1.34,9.22]}{3.70}$	$\underset{[1.41,8.76]}{3.56}$
African-American (M)	$\underset{[1.00,4.83]}{2.72}$	$\underset{[1.44,9.15]}{4.33}$	$\underset{[1.03,9.92]}{3.92}$	$\underset{[1.00,9.95]}{3.84}$
African-American (W)	$\underset{[1.67,5.70]}{3.46}$	$\underset{[2.68,11.86]}{5.95}$	$\underset{[1.98,12.55]}{5.21}$	$\underset{[1.86,11.71]}{4.71}$
White	$\underset{[0.62,4.14]}{2.16}$	$\underset{[0.89,6.97]}{3.09}$	$\underset{[0.87,7.02]}{2.91}$	$\underset{[0.87,6.82]}{2.93}$
White (M)	$\underset{[0.14,3.54]}{1.71}$	$\underset{[0.34,7.20]}{3.04}$	$\underset{[0.37,8.47]}{3.16}$	$\underset{[0.33,8.72]}{3.14}$
White (W)	$\underset{[0.80,5.98]}{3.19}$	$\underset{[1.30,10.73]}{4.78}$	$\underset{[1.25,11.04]}{4.41}$	$\underset{[1.27,10.41]}{4.40}$

Notes: The table shows the predicted cumulative percentage change in life expectancy and age adjusted mortality rate at 5, 10, 15 and 20 years. We present the median values and provide the values that correspond to the 90% bands in brackets. Results are presented for the overall US population and subdivided based on race and gender.