Table F.2.

Cumulative changes of age-adjusted death rates for the leading causes of deaths over different horizons following a 1% unemployment shock.

	(1) Percentage change
	5 years	10 years	15 years	20 years
Accidents	$\underset{[0.26,3.48]}{1.82}$	$\underset{[2.35,8.52]}{4.86}$	$\underset{[2.40,10.42]}{4.85}$	$\underset{[2.17,9.88]}{4.07}$
Cancer	$\underset{[-0.99,0.65]}{-0.18}$	$\underset{[-1.93,1.29]}{-0.34}$	$\underset{[-2.55,1.82]}{-0.42}$	$\underset{[-2.98,2.23]}{-0.47}$
Heart disease	$\underset{[-0.16,1.77]}{0.77}$	$\underset{[-0.02,3.53]}{1.56}$	$\underset{[0.03,4.50]}{1.85}$	$\underset{[0.04,4.98]}{1.89}$
Influenza and pneumonia	$\underset{[1.52,4.73]}{3.05}$	$\underset{[3.23,9.97]}{6.06}$	$\underset{[3.89,13.60]}{7.25}$	$\underset{[3.90,15.66]}{7.30}$
Stroke	$\underset{[-0.17,2.64]}{1.22}$	$\underset{[0.53,6.40]}{3.12}$	$\underset{[0.93,8.71]}{3.87}$	$\underset{[1.07,10.05]}{3.94}$
The residual causes	$\underset{[-0.32,1.56]}{0.61}$	$\underset{[0.04,3.55]}{1.71}$	$\underset{[0.26,4.81]}{2.16}$	$\underset{[0.35,5.44]}{2.27}$
Overall	$\underset{[-0.10,1.25]}{0.56}$	$\underset{[0.08,1.64]}{0.81}$	$\underset{[0.10,1.50]}{0.77}$	$\underset{[0.10,1.45]}{0.77}$
	(2) Change
	5 years	10 years	15 years	20 years
Accidents	$\underset{[0.12,1.67]}{0.88}$	$\underset{[1.13,4.09]}{2.33}$	$\underset{[1.15,5.00]}{2.33}$	$\underset{[1.04,4.74]}{1.95}$
Cancer	$\underset{[-1.48,0.97]}{-0.27}$	$\underset{[-2.88,1.92]}{-0.50}$	$\underset{[-3.80,2.72]}{-0.63}$	$\underset{[-4.45,3.32]}{-0.71}$
Heart disease	$\underset{[-0.26,2.89]}{1.26}$	$\underset{[-0.04,5.78]}{2.55}$	$\underset{[0.04,7.36]}{3.03}$	$\underset{[0.06,8.14]}{3.09}$
Influenza and pneumonia	$\underset{[0.23,0.71]}{0.46}$	$\underset{[0.48,1.48]}{0.90}$	$\underset{[0.58,2.03]}{1.08}$	$\underset{[0.58,2.33]}{1.09}$
Stroke	$\underset{[-0.06,0.98]}{0.45}$	$\underset{[0.20,2.37]}{1.16}$	$\underset{[0.34,3.23]}{1.44}$	$\underset{[0.40,3.73]}{1.46}$
The residual causes	$\underset{[-1.01,4.84]}{1.90}$	$\underset{[0.13,11.05]}{5.31}$	$\underset{[0.81,14.95]}{6.73}$	$\underset{[1.10,16.92]}{7.07}$
Overall	$\underset{[-0.76,9.01]}{4.05}$	$\underset{[0.61,11.83]}{5.85}$	$\underset{[0.71,10.83]}{5.55}$	$\underset{[0.73,10.48]}{5.58}$

Notes: We multiply the predicted change at 5, 10, 15, and 20 years provided in Panel (1) of Table 4 with the most recent age-adjusted death rates of the leading causes of deaths in 2019. The age-adjusted death rates (deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population) for the 10 leading causes of death in the most recent year 2019 are: (1) Heart disease, 163.6; (2) Cancer, 149.1; (3) Accidents, 48.0; (4) Chronic lower respiratory disease, 39.7; (5) Stroke, 37.1; (6) Alzheimer disease, 30.5; (7) Diabetes, 21.4; (8) Kidney disease, 12.9; (9) Influenza and pneumonia 14.9; and (10) Suicide, 14.2. The overall death rate was 723.6.