Table 3.

Regression results (multinomial logistic regression). Effects of sociodemographic characteristics on ideal types of couple formation trajectories

	Traditional pathways of couple formation						Timeless trajectories of couple formation
	Young married couples		Gradually married couples		Married in the eyes of God		Perpetual singles		LAT		Separated then married
	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men
Generation (Ref. 1948–1959)
1960–1969	− 0.168***	− 0.0401***	− 0.0701***	− 0.0900***	− 0.0166*	− 0.00746*	− 0.0223**	− 0.0232	− 0.0207	− 0.0329**	0.00762	− 0.0193*
1970–1984	− 0.342***	− 0.110***	− 0.0850***	− 0.142***	− 0.0454***	− 0.0133***	− 0.0345***	− 0.0648***	0.000197	− 0.0279*	− 0.00469	− 0.0378***
First child before age of 30 (Ref. No)
Yes	0.242***	0.0925***	0.136***	0.264***	0.0881***	0.0311***	− 0.176***	− 0.360***	− 0.0660***	− 0.0410***	0.120***	0.106***
Age at first sexual relation (Ref. ≥ 18)
< 18	0.0670***	0.00406	− 0.0626***	− 0.0298**	− 0.0101	− 0.00342	− 0.0400***	− 0.0551***	− 0.0243**	− 0.00458	0.0450***	0.0252**
Nationality at birth (Ref. French)
Other	0.0307	−0.00915	0.0736***	−0.0355	0.00256	0.00645	0.0240*	0.0338	0.0285*	0.00675	0.00243	-0.0168
Religion (Ref. No religion)
Catholic - religion declared important	0.0349*	0.0151	0.0210	0.0450**	0.0633***	0.0380***	− 0.0145	− 0.0211	− 0.0113	− 0.0102	0.000995	− 0.00387
Catholic - religion declared not important	0.0440**	0.0202***	0.0270	0.0175	0.0198	0.0317***	− 0.0240**	− 0.0332*	− 0.0173	− 0.00525	0.0267**	0.0170
Muslim	0.104***	0.0461***	− 0.0522	0.0683	0.123***	0.0417***	0.0618***	0.0846**	0.0400**	0.0426	− 0.0306	− 0.0437
Other religion	0.0529	0.0180	0.0210	0.0855**	0.0816***	0.0229	0.000591	0.0252	− 0.0386	− 0.00739	0.0145	0.0270
Relative level of education (Ref. High degree)
Low degree	0.0543**	0.0136	− 0.0678***	− 0.00158	− 0.0185	− 0.000376	0.0579***	0.134***	− 0.00524	− 0.0646***	− 0.0471***	− 0.0306*
Moderately low degree	0.0856***	0.0165**	− 0.0248	0.0131	− 0.00282	− 0.00529	0.0214*	0.0565***	− 0.00513	− 0.0170	0.000947	− 0.00743
Moderately high degree	0.0632***	0.0118	0.0156	0.0248	0.00494	0.00210	0.00559	0.0390*	− 0.0147	− 0.0306*	0.000528	− 0.00770
Parent’s occupation (Ref. I Higher Professionals and Managers)
II Lower Professionals and Managers	0.0158	0.0205	0.0400	0.0374	− 0.0165	0.0110	− 0.0319**	− 0.0243	− 0.0229	0.0163	0.0251	0.0467**
IIIa Higher routine non-manual	0.0311	0.0249*	0.0345	0.0540*	− 0.0352**	0.00367	− 0.0296*	− 0.00993	0.00601	0.0230	0.0121	− 0.00915
IIIb Lower routine non-manual	0.0991***	0.0114	0.0321	− 0.0373	− 0.0136	− 0.00588	− 0.0118	− 0.0354	0.0174	− 0.0432	0.0207	0.00505
IV Proprietors, artisans, farmers	0.0757***	0.00877	0.0396	0.0598**	− 0.0163	− 0.00537	− 0.00781	0.0280	0.0134	0.0125	0.0255*	− 0.0119
V Lower technicians & supervisors	0.0675**	0.0360**	0.0499	0.0513	− 0.0641***	− 0.00434	− 0.00587	− 0.0123	− 0.0460*	− 0.0233	0.0351*	− 0.0234
VI Skilled manual	0.104***	0.0265**	0.0261	0.0613**	− 0.00733	0.00621	− 0.0311**	0.0238	− 0.00278	0.0174	0.0102	− 0.0136
VII Unskilled manual	0.0666**	0.0341**	0.0600	0.0809**	− 0.00416	0.00675	− 0.00475	0.0593	− 0.0306	0.0286	0.0125	0.0218
Inactive or missing	0.176***	0.0163	0.218***	0.00696	− 0.00154	− 0.198***	0.0588*	0.110**	0.0856***	0.0142	− 0.855***	− 0.00998
Observations	763	282	459	429	220	101	389	595	193	162	355	186

	New couple formation approaches
	Cohabiting first unions		Cohabiting second unions		Separated with a second gradual union		Late bloomers		Singles with experience
	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men	Women	Men
Generation (Ref. 1948–1959)
1960–1969	0.141***	0.111***	0.0733***	0.0692***	0.0382**	0.0121	0.0505***	0.0306	− 0.0134	− 0.0101
1970–1984	0.191***	0.142***	0.144***	0.101***	0.0939***	0.0720***	0.0742***	0.0468*	0.00780	0.0335*
First child before age of 30 (Ref. No)
Yes	0.0264*	0.0817***	− 0.0212*	0.0417***	− 0.107***	− 0.0225*	− 0.0858***	− 0.0280	− 0.157***	− 0.165***
Age at first sexual relation (Ref. ≥ 18)
< 18	0.0373***	0.0126	0.0529***	0.0606***	0.0277***	0.0250**	− 0.101***	− 0.0423**	0.00788	0.00770
Nationality at birth (Ref. French)
Other	− 0.00766	− 0.0115	− 0.112***	− 0.00907	− 0.0223	0.0174	0.00392	0.0446	− 0.0235	− 0.0269
Religion (Ref. No religion)
Catholic - religion declared important	− 0.0572***	− 0.0482**	− 0.0335**	− 0.0257	− 0.00893	− 8.88e-06	− 0.00347	− 0.00846	0.00871	0.0194
Catholic - religion declared not important	− 0.0269*	− 0.0368**	− 0.0160	− 0.00812	− 0.00557	− 0.00576	− 0.00564	− 0.00585	− 0.0221*	0.00853
Muslim	− 0.190***	− 0.0999**	− 0.0687	− 0.0800*	− 0.0401	− 0.0845	0.00518	− 0.0337	0.0472*	0.0585*
Other religion	− 0.0479	− 0.0680	− 0.0432	− 0.0486	− 0.0197	− 0.0613	− 0.0327	0.0272	0.0113	− 0.0206
Relative level of education (Ref. High degree)
Low degree	0.0577***	0.0155	− 0.0161	0.000525	− 0.0333*	− 0.0855***	− 0.0101	− 0.00301	0.0283*	0.0225
Moderately low degree	0.0148	0.0199	− 0.0336**	− 0.0215	− 0.0356**	− 0.0350**	− 0.0319*	− 0.0174	0.0112	− 0.00235
Moderately high degree	0.0201	0.0219	− 0.0318**	0.00115	− 0.0283**	− 0.0198	− 0.0201	− 0.0444*	− 0.0150	0.00177
Parent’s occupation (Ref. I Higher Professionals and Managers)
II Lower Professionals and Managers	0.0149	− 0.0727**	− 0.0286	− 0.0125	− 0.00274	− 0.0113	− 0.00746	− 0.0193	0.0142	0.00813
IIIa Higher routine non-manual	0.0351	0.0145	− 0.0198	− 0.00735	− 0.0110	− 0.00732	− 0.00270	− 0.0663*	− 0.0204	− 0.0201
IIIb Lower routine non-manual	0.00811	0.0455	− 0.0677*	0.0402	0.000154	− 0.00509	− 0.113***	0.0628	0.0287	− 0.0382
IV Proprietors, artisans, farmers	− 0.00757	0.0130	− 0.0253	− 0.0338	− 0.0360**	− 0.0113	− 0.0588***	− 0.0191	− 0.00253	− 0.0407*
V Lower technicians & supervisors	0.0203	0.00956	− 0.0430	− 0.00578	− 0.0340	0.0259	− 0.0189	0.00873	0.0390	− 0.0623**
VI Skilled manual	0.0175	0.0113	− 0.0274	− 0.0351*	− 0.0316*	− 0.0183	− 0.0444**	− 0.0280	− 0.0132	− 0.0515**
VII Unskilled manual	0.00267	0.0300	− 0.0109	− 0.0813*	− 0.0365	− 0.0495	− 0.0499*	− 0.0974*	− 0.00503	− 0.0332
Inactive or missing	0.157***	0.0581	0.0154	0.0399	0.0497	− 0.0529	0.0342	0.115**	0.0625	− 0.100
Observations	426	264	319	208	325	207	338	362	321	318

Reported coefficients are marginal effects at the means (MEM). MEM reports the partial effect of a given explanatory variable $w_i$ on the predicted probability $Y_i=j$ after setting all the other covariates at their means. We use “Young married couples” as reference group

*p ≤ 0.05; **p ≤ 0.01; ***p ≤ 0.001