Table 3.
Results of discrete-time clog-log models of the transition to teen marriage by granular cohorts
| HR of teen union | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| Conflict measure * Born in | |||
| 1974–1977 | 0.866 | 0.992 | 0.969 |
| [0.50,1.49] | [0.97,1.00] | [0.92,1.02] | |
| 1978–1980 | 0.327** | 0.958* | 0.846* |
| [0.16,0.69] | [0.92,0.97] | [0.74,0.96] | |
| 1981–1984 | 0.668 | 0.986 | 0.958 |
| [0.37,1.20] | [0.96,1.01] | [0.87,1.06] | |
| Overall conflict-affectedness (ref: Not-affected) | |||
| Conflict-affected | 1.246 | ||
| [0.73,2.12] | |||
| Conflict frequency (events) | 1.037* | ||
| [1.00,1.07] | |||
| Conflict intensity (fatalities per 1,000) | 1.107 | ||
| [0.94,1.30] | |||
| District dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year of birth dummies | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| σu2 | 1.181 | 1.152 | 1.134 |
| N person-years | 44,885 | 44,885 | 44,885 |
Source 2006 AZ-DHS. Notes: Sample consists of women born 1957–1984 (aged 22–49 in 2006), excluding women born 1972–1973. Subjects enter analysis at age 12. Columns represent hazard ratios. 95% confidence intervals are in parentheses. Robust standard errors clustered at the PSU level. The “War-cohort” includes women born 1974–1984. The binary indicator “overall conflict-affectedness” is equal to “1” for IDP/refugee women, non-migrant women residing in Upper-Karabakh and non-displaced women with at least one male member of their family of origin (or mother) who identified as IDP/refugee, and “0” otherwise. All regressions control for duration since start of exposure to the risk of teen marriage (< 5 years, 5–6 years and > 6 years) and rural/urban residence and include a constant not shown. Models are specified with individual-level frailty terms (σu2) and are weighted using provided sampling weights. *p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001