Table 2.
Logistical models for predicting emigration from Sweden 1993–2014: Individual women born in Sweden between 1975 and 1978 (OR)
| Full sample | Restricted sample | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | Age 25+ (3) | Age 25+ and lag income (4) | Age 25+ and lagged income and benefits1 | ||
| (5) | (6) | |||||
| Educational level—omitted—secondary education | ||||||
| Compulsory education 9 years or less | 0.871** (0.033) | 1.101* (0.043) | 1.351** (0.079) | 1.479** (0.148) | 1.291* (0.130) | 1.068 (0.092) |
| Post-secondary education less than two | 0.933 (0.035) | 0.696** (0.026) | 0.848** (0.041) | 1.115 (0.084) | 1.082 (0.081) | 0.943 (0.059) |
| Higher education two years or longer | 0.865** (0.021) | 0.560** (0.016) | 0.523** (0.017) | 1.087 (0.053) | 1.036 (0.051) | 0.776** (0.034) |
| Postgraduate | 2.438** (0.261) | 1.231 (0.134) | 1.077 (0.118) | 3.121** (0.413) | 3.036** (0.403) | 2.192** (0.275) |
| CSN2 | 0.913** (0.026) | 0.866** (0.025) | 1.025 (0.036) | 1.111* (0.054) | 0.665** (0.036) | 1.028 (0.045) |
| Short migration | 3.809** (0.156) | 3.542** (0.147) | 3.195** (0.147) | 3.135** (0.228) | 2.797** (0.205) | 2.780** (0.176) |
| Percentile of school grade | 1.015** (0.000) | 1.020** (0.001) | 1.015** (0.001) | 1.016** (0.001) | 1.018** (0.001) | |
| Decile of income residual—omitted 1st decile | ||||||
| 2nd decile | 0.569** (0.039) | 0.689** (0.042) | ||||
| 3rd decile | 0.473** (0.033) | 0.371** (0.023) | ||||
| 4th decile | 0.406** (0.029) | 0.280** (0.018) | ||||
| 5th decile | 0.299** (0.023) | 0.231** (0.016) | ||||
| 6th decile | 0.240** (0.019) | 0.180** (0.013) | ||||
| 7th decile | 0.182** (0.015) | 0.152** (0.011) | ||||
| 8th decile | 0.212** (0.016) | 0.145** (0.010) | ||||
| 9th decile | 0.206** (0.015) | 0.134** (0.010) | ||||
| 10th decile | 0.284** (0.021) | 0.194** (0.013) | ||||
| Constant | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) |
| Observations | 3,554,384 | 3,554,384 | 2,311,994 | 2,116,431 | 2,116,431 | 2,219,577 |
| Individuals | 178,905 | 178,905 | 175,232 | 172,259 | 172,259 | 173,858 |
| Emigration events | 10,173 | 10,173 | 6759 | 3343 | 3343 | 4235 |
All models control for age (and its square term), marital status, number of children, and having a child under the age of tree, migration background, and previous short migration event. Omitted category in the models—those who did not emigrate
Individual clustered robust standard errors in parentheses
1Income including work-related insurance benefits
2An indicator of receiving educational allowances
**p < 0.01; *p < 0.05