Table 3.
Multinomial logistic regression models for predicting emigration destination from Sweden 1993–2014: Individual men born in Sweden between 1975 and 1978 (relative risk ratio)
| Full sample (1) | Restricted sample—age 25+, positive lag income (2) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America, Oceania | Nordic countries | Western Southern Europe | Other | North America, Oceania | Nordic countries | Western Southern Europe | Other | |
| Educational level—omitted—secondary education | ||||||||
| Compulsory education nine years or less | 2.156** (0.202) | 1.087 (0.065) | 1.350** (0.123) | 1.359* (0.186) | 1.683* (0.347) | 1.157 (0.132) | 1.496* (0.253) | 1.029 (0.233) |
| Post-secondary education less than two | 0.597** (0.072) | 0.749** (0.062) | 1.122 (0.096) | 1.267 (0.171) | 0.907 (0.192) | 0.795 (0.107) | 1.187 (0.179) | 1.627** (0.295) |
| Higher education two years or longer | 0.647** (0.051) | 1.049 (0.058) | 1.763** (0.107) | 1.520** (0.136) | 1.343* (0.176) | 1.159 (0.089) | 2.499** (0.235) | 2.149** (0.258) |
| Postgraduate | 2.043** (0.332) | 2.537** (0.480) | 4.835** (0.620) | 1.508 (0.385) | 6.385** (1.368) | 2.725** (0.578) | 9.893** (1.632) | 2.888** (0.859) |
| CSN1 | 1.236* (0.109) | 1.122* (0.065) | 0.870* (0.053) | 1.062 (0.111) | 0.789 (0.136) | 0.904 (0.085) | 0.724** (0.065) | 0.614** (0.103) |
| Percentile of school grade | 1.027** (0.001) | 1.003** (0.001) | 1.023** (0.001) | 1.016** (0.001) | 1.021** (0.002) | 1.007** (0.001) | 1.022** (0.002) | 1.013** (0.002) |
| Decile of income residual—omitted 1st decile | ||||||||
| 2nd decile | 0.585** (0.116) | 0.889 (0.099) | 0.568** (0.062) | 0.620** (0.114) | ||||
| 3rd decile | 0.515** (0.095) | 0.737** (0.080) | 0.502** (0.054) | 0.409** (0.075) | ||||
| 4th decile | 0.330** (0.068) | 0.481** (0.058) | 0.315** (0.041) | 0.341** (0.064) | ||||
| 5th decile | 0.227** (0.053) | 0.409** (0.052) | 0.230** (0.034) | 0.187** (0.040) | ||||
| 6th decile | 0.236** (0.051) | 0.327** (0.042) | 0.215** (0.031) | 0.218** (0.044) | ||||
| 7th decile | 0.217** (0.047) | 0.288** (0.037) | 0.220** (0.031) | 0.178** (0.037) | ||||
| 8th decile | 0.201** (0.044) | 0.236** (0.032) | 0.222** (0.030) | 0.262** (0.048) | ||||
| 9th decile | 0.488** (0.085) | 0.314** (0.040) | 0.301** (0.036) | 0.384** (0.065) | ||||
| 10th decile | 0.750 (0.121) | 0.266** (0.036) | 0.506** (0.054) | 0.712* (0.109) | ||||
| Constant | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) | 0.000** (0.000) |
| Observations | 3,763,205 | 2,277,727 | ||||||
| Individuals | 188,159 | 183,098 | ||||||
All models control for age (and its square term), marital status, number of children, and having a child under the age of tree, migration background, and previous short migration event
Individual clustered robust standard errors in parentheses
**p < 0.01; *p < 0.05
1An indicator of receiving educational allowances