Table 4.

Multinomial logistic regression models for predicting emigration destination from Sweden 1990–2014: individuals women born in Sweden between 1975 and 1978 (relative risk ratio)

	Full sample (1)				Restricted sample—age 25+, positive lag income (2)
	North America & Oceania	Nordic countries	Western Southern Europe	Other	North America & Oceania	Nordic countries	Western Southern Europe	Other
Educational level—omitted—secondary education
Compulsory education nine years or less	1.312** (0.123)	0.864* (0.056)	1.084 (0.072)	1.287 (0.182)	0.863 (0.254)	1.264 (0.222)	1.524** (0.233)	1.240 (0.358)
Post-secondary education less than two	0.541** (0.051)	0.716** (0.052)	0.789** (0.043)	0.651** (0.090)	1.057 (0.199)	0.844 (0.126)	1.274* (0.139)	1.006 (0.224)
Higher education two years or longer	0.293** (0.020)	0.855** (0.049)	0.523** (0.021)	0.658** (0.057)	0.862 (0.108)	0.975 (0.090)	1.108 (0.081)	1.137 (0.154)
Postgraduate	0.868 (0.188)	3.481** (0.773)	0.862 (0.150)	0.949 (0.278)	3.677** (1.006)	3.479** (0.888)	2.958** (0.618)	1.766 (0.720)
CSN1	1.121 (0.083)	1.059 (0.054)	0.686** (0.031)	0.874 (0.093)	0.658** (0.092)	0.867 (0.087)	0.566** (0.046)	0.682* (0.113)
Percentile of school grade	1.020** (0.001)	1.004** (0.001)	1.021** (0.001)	1.018** (0.002)	1.017** (0.002)	1.009** (0.002)	1.020** (0.001)	1.016** (0.002)
Decile of income residual—omitted 1st decile
2nd decile					0.544** (0.090)	0.744* (0.104)	0.514** (0.052)	0.529** (0.110)
3rd decile					0.468** (0.079)	0.627** (0.089)	0.379** (0.041)	0.616* (0.117)
4th decile					0.381** (0.064)	0.638** (0.087)	0.327** (0.035)	0.377** (0.077)
5th decile					0.198** (0.039)	0.415** (0.063)	0.291** (0.032)	0.299** (0.063)
6th decile					0.151** (0.032)	0.415** (0.061)	0.179** (0.023)	0.328** (0.065)
7th decile					0.149** (0.030)	0.302** (0.046)	0.146** (0.018)	0.177** (0.042)
8th decile					0.143** (0.028)	0.324** (0.047)	0.197** (0.021)	0.197** (0.043)
9th decile					0.127** (0.026)	0.369** (0.052)	0.169** (0.018)	0.217** (0.046)
10th decile					0.223** (0.040)	0.287** (0.047)	0.270** (0.028)	0.394** (0.075)
Constant	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)	0.000** (0.000)
Observations	3,554,384				2,116,431
Individuals	178,905				172,259

All models control for age (and its square term), marital status, number of children, and having a child under the age of tree, migration background, and previous short migration event

Individual clustered robust standard errors in parentheses

¹An indicator of receiving educational allowances

**p < 0.01; *p < 0.05