Table 5. Simulated impacts on employment and health outcomes of raising mandatory retirement and public pension eligibility ages to 70 years.

		Aged 55–69 years		Aged 55–59 years		Aged 60–64 years		Aged 65–69 years
		Mean	SD	Mean	SD	Mean	SD	Mean	SD
Work	Actual	61.4	(48.7)	78.9	(40.8)	65.3	(47.6)	44.9	(49.7)
	Predicted (A)	61.3	(21.4)	75.5	(14.4)	68.2	(17.1)	45.3	(18.4)
	Simulated (B)	74.7	(14.3)	76.1	(13.6)	75.3	(13.8)	73.1	(15.0)
	Impact (B−A)	13.3	(12.7)	0.7	(2.1)	7.1	(5.0)	27.8	(4.2)
Poor self-rated health	Actual	14.6	(35.3)	14.3	(35.0)	14.5	(35.2)	15.0	(35.7)
	Predicted (A)	14.6	(4.0)	13.4	(3.6)	14.3	(3.9)	15.9	(4.1)
	Simulated (B)	13.8	(3.8)	13.4	(3.6)	13.8	(3.8)	14.1	(3.8)
	Impact (B−A)	−0.9	(0.8)	0.0	(0.1)	−0.4	(0.3)	−1.8	(0.4)
Subjective symptoms	Actual	30.7	(46.1)	29.0	(45.4)	30.1	(45.9)	32.3	(46.8)
	Predicted (A)	31.0	(7.3)	28.3	(6.2)	30.3	(7.1)	33.7	(7.5)
	Simulated (B)	29.2	(6.7)	28.2	(6.1)	29.4	(6.9)	29.9	(7.0)
	Impact (B−A)	−1.8	(1.7)	−0.1	(0.3)	−1.0	(0.7)	−3.8	(0.7)
ADL problems	Actual	15.0	(35.7)	14.0	(34.7)	15.0	(35.7)	15.8	(36.5)
	Predicted (A)	15.2	(5.7)	13.3	(4.8)	14.8	(5.5)	17.0	(5.8)
	Simulated (B)	13.9	(5.1)	13.3	(4.8)	14.0	(5.3)	14.2	(5.2)
	Impact (B−A)	−1.4	(1.3)	−0.1	(0.2)	−0.8	(0.5)	−2.8	(0.8)
Stress/anxiety	Actual	45.0	(49.7)	49.6	(50.0)	45.4	(49.8)	41.1	(49.2)
	Predicted (A)	45.2	(9.0)	48.5	(7.9)	45.6	(8.7)	42.3	(9.2)
	Simulated (B)	47.7	(8.9)	48.6	(8.0)	47.4	(8.9)	47.1	(9.5)
	Impact (B−A)	2.5	(2.1)	0.2	(0.6)	1.8	(1.0)	4.8	(0.8)
Psychological stress	Actual	26.5	(44.2)	30.0	(45.8)	26.4	(44.1)	23.8	(42.6)
	Predicted (A)	27.3	(7.1)	29.8	(6.5)	27.7	(6.9)	25.0	(7.1)
	Simulated (B)	29.4	(7.2)	30.0	(6.5)	29.3	(7.2)	29.1	(7.7)
	Impact (B−A)	2.1	(1.9)	0.2	(0.6)	1.6	(0.9)	4.1	(0.8)

ADL, activities of daily living; SD, standard deviation.